Yvette Clarke's decisive victory in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York's 9th congressional district has reinforced trader expectations of a Democratic hold in the November general election. The Brooklyn-based seat features consistent Democratic majorities in prior cycles, bolstered by the incumbent's long record of re-election and party infrastructure advantages. With Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah positioned as the clear underdog, the market's 95% implied probability for Democrats reflects these structural factors and limited recent shifts in voter registration or polling trends. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unusually strong national environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies that have not materialized in comparable districts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей NY-09
$43,755 Объем
$43,755 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$43,755 Объем
$43,755 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$19,282 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$24,474 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke's decisive victory in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York's 9th congressional district has reinforced trader expectations of a Democratic hold in the November general election. The Brooklyn-based seat features consistent Democratic majorities in prior cycles, bolstered by the incumbent's long record of re-election and party infrastructure advantages. With Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah positioned as the clear underdog, the market's 95% implied probability for Democrats reflects these structural factors and limited recent shifts in voter registration or polling trends. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unusually strong national environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies that have not materialized in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$43,755Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yvette Clarke's decisive victory in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York's 9th congressional district has reinforced trader expectations of a Democratic hold in the November general election. The Brooklyn-based seat features consistent Democratic majorities in prior cycles, bolstered by the incumbent's long record of re-election and party infrastructure advantages. With Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah positioned as the clear underdog, the market's 95% implied probability for Democrats reflects these structural factors and limited recent shifts in voter registration or polling trends. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unusually strong national environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies that have not materialized in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$43,755Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Yvette Clarke's decisive victory in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York's 9th congressional district has reinforced trader expectations of a Democratic hold in the November general election. The Brooklyn-based seat features consistent Democratic majorities in prior cycles, bolstered by the incumbent's long record of re-election and party infrastructure advantages. With Republican nominee Joel Anabilah-Azumah positioned as the clear underdog, the market's 95% implied probability for Democrats reflects these structural factors and limited recent shifts in voter registration or polling trends. A narrow path for Republicans would require an unusually strong national environment, significant candidate-specific developments, or turnout anomalies that have not materialized in comparable districts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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