Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 7 general election place Labour and National in the top two spots, with New Zealand First frequently third on 8–13 percent support, ahead of or level with the Greens in several August surveys including Talbot Mills and RNZ–Reid Research aggregates. This positioning stems from New Zealand First’s steady recovery since entering the National–ACT coalition, its appeal on cost-of-living and regional issues, and consistent results above the 5 percent MMP threshold. The Greens remain competitive at 8–13 percent but trail in the latest aggregates, while ACT, Opportunity, and Te Pāti Māori register lower shares that limit their prospects for third. Traders appear to view these polling trends as the primary driver of the current consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,272 Объем
$13,272 Объем
7 нояб. 2026 г.
New Zealand First Party
53%
Green Party
37%
ACT New Zealand
2%
National Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 53%
Green Party 37%
ACT New Zealand 1.6%
National Party 1.2%
$13,272 Объем
$13,272 Объем
7 нояб. 2026 г.
New Zealand First Party
$4,956 Объем
53%
Green Party
$5,360 Объем
37%
ACT New Zealand
$702 Объем
2%
National Party
$415 Объем
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$774 Объем
<1%
Labour Party
$1,065 Объем
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 7 general election place Labour and National in the top two spots, with New Zealand First frequently third on 8–13 percent support, ahead of or level with the Greens in several August surveys including Talbot Mills and RNZ–Reid Research aggregates. This positioning stems from New Zealand First’s steady recovery since entering the National–ACT coalition, its appeal on cost-of-living and regional issues, and consistent results above the 5 percent MMP threshold. The Greens remain competitive at 8–13 percent but trail in the latest aggregates, while ACT, Opportunity, and Te Pāti Māori register lower shares that limit their prospects for third. Traders appear to view these polling trends as the primary driver of the current consensus.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Объем
$13,272Дата окончания
7 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 7 general election place Labour and National in the top two spots, with New Zealand First frequently third on 8–13 percent support, ahead of or level with the Greens in several August surveys including Talbot Mills and RNZ–Reid Research aggregates. This positioning stems from New Zealand First’s steady recovery since entering the National–ACT coalition, its appeal on cost-of-living and regional issues, and consistent results above the 5 percent MMP threshold. The Greens remain competitive at 8–13 percent but trail in the latest aggregates, while ACT, Opportunity, and Te Pāti Māori register lower shares that limit their prospects for third. Traders appear to view these polling trends as the primary driver of the current consensus.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Объем
$13,272Дата окончания
7 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls for New Zealand’s November 7 general election place Labour and National in the top two spots, with New Zealand First frequently third on 8–13 percent support, ahead of or level with the Greens in several August surveys including Talbot Mills and RNZ–Reid Research aggregates. This positioning stems from New Zealand First’s steady recovery since entering the National–ACT coalition, its appeal on cost-of-living and regional issues, and consistent results above the 5 percent MMP threshold. The Greens remain competitive at 8–13 percent but trail in the latest aggregates, while ACT, Opportunity, and Te Pāti Māori register lower shares that limit their prospects for third. Traders appear to view these polling trends as the primary driver of the current consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
38%
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