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Политика·Выборы в Новой Зеландии

New Zealand legislative election winner?

icon for New Zealand legislative election winner?
Политика·Выборы в Новой Зеландии

New Zealand legislative election winner?

Labour Party 55%

National Party 46%

Green Party <1%

ACT New Zealand <1%

Polymarket

$56,948 Объем

Labour Party 55%

National Party 46%

Green Party <1%

ACT New Zealand <1%

Polymarket

$56,948 Объем

icon for National Party

National Party

$23,612 Объем

46%

icon for Labour Party

Labour Party

$17,237 Объем

55%

icon for Green Party

Green Party

$4,178 Объем

<1%

icon for ACT New Zealand

ACT New Zealand

$4,136 Объем

<1%

icon for New Zealand First Party

New Zealand First Party

$3,571 Объем

<1%

icon for Te Pāti Māori

Te Pāti Māori

$4,214 Объем

<1%

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling shows the race between Labour and National remaining closely contested ahead of the November 2026 election under New Zealand’s MMP system, with party votes hovering near 30 percent for each major party and bloc support fluctuating within a few points. The National-led coalition government has seen modest erosion in some surveys, while Labour has gained ground on key voter concerns, and the surge of the Opportunity Party is reshaping minor-party thresholds and potential coalition pathways. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with neither side securing a durable lead in seat projections or preferred prime minister ratings. Scheduled events such as further polls, leadership statements, and economic data releases through the regulated campaign period could shift momentum by clarifying coalition viability or highlighting differences on fiscal policy and immigration.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Объем
$56,948
Дата окончания
7 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling shows the race between Labour and National remaining closely contested ahead of the November 2026 election under New Zealand’s MMP system, with party votes hovering near 30 percent for each major party and bloc support fluctuating within a few points. The National-led coalition government has seen modest erosion in some surveys, while Labour has gained ground on key voter concerns, and the surge of the Opportunity Party is reshaping minor-party thresholds and potential coalition pathways. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with neither side securing a durable lead in seat projections or preferred prime minister ratings. Scheduled events such as further polls, leadership statements, and economic data releases through the regulated campaign period could shift momentum by clarifying coalition viability or highlighting differences on fiscal policy and immigration.

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Объем
$56,948
Дата окончания
7 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

Связанные

icon for Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

38%
icon for Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

53%
icon for Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

53%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«New Zealand legislative election winner?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Labour Party» с 55%, за ним следует «National Party» с 46%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 55¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 55%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «New Zealand legislative election winner?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $56.9K с момента запуска рынка Apr 29, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «New Zealand legislative election winner?», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «New Zealand legislative election winner?» — «Labour Party» с 55%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 55%. Следующий ближайший исход — «National Party» с 46%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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