The closely matched probabilities for second place in the Minas Gerais Senate race reflect a fragmented field for the state's two seats, where each voter selects two candidates. The latest Datafolha survey, conducted August 18–20 after candidacies were finalized and campaigning began, shows Marília Campos (PT) leading overall at 11% but with Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP) within the three-point margin of error at 8%, 6%, and 5% respectively amid 24% undecided and 21% blank/null responses. Earlier July polls had featured Aécio Neves (PSDB) more prominently before recent configurations narrowed the second-place contenders. High undecided shares, limited early advertising, and Minas Gerais's large electorate sustain the tightness, with separation likely to emerge from candidate visibility in the coming weeks, coalition consolidation ahead of the October vote, or shifts in turnout among key regional blocs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCarlos Viana 43%
Marília Campos 37%
Domingos Sávio 17.6%
Marcelo Aro 3.9%
$18,731 Объем
$18,731 Объем
Carlos Viana
43%
Marília Campos
37%
Domingos Sávio
18%
Marcelo Aro
4%
Marcelo Heringer
<1%
Marco Antônio Superman
<1%
Arcanjo Pimenta
<1%
Jordano Metalúrgico
<1%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
<1%
Victória Mello Vic
<1%
Manoel Carvalho
<1%
Ana Luiza do MLB
<1%
Fidélis Alcântara
<1%
Gustavo Galassi
<1%
Tião Pessoa
<1%
Áurea Carolina
<1%
Carlin Moura
<1%
Carlos Viana 43%
Marília Campos 37%
Domingos Sávio 17.6%
Marcelo Aro 3.9%
$18,731 Объем
$18,731 Объем
Carlos Viana
43%
Marília Campos
37%
Domingos Sávio
18%
Marcelo Aro
4%
Marcelo Heringer
<1%
Marco Antônio Superman
<1%
Arcanjo Pimenta
<1%
Jordano Metalúrgico
<1%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
<1%
Victória Mello Vic
<1%
Manoel Carvalho
<1%
Ana Luiza do MLB
<1%
Fidélis Alcântara
<1%
Gustavo Galassi
<1%
Tião Pessoa
<1%
Áurea Carolina
<1%
Carlin Moura
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities for second place in the Minas Gerais Senate race reflect a fragmented field for the state's two seats, where each voter selects two candidates. The latest Datafolha survey, conducted August 18–20 after candidacies were finalized and campaigning began, shows Marília Campos (PT) leading overall at 11% but with Carlos Viana (PSD), Domingos Sávio (PL), and Marcelo Aro (PP) within the three-point margin of error at 8%, 6%, and 5% respectively amid 24% undecided and 21% blank/null responses. Earlier July polls had featured Aécio Neves (PSDB) more prominently before recent configurations narrowed the second-place contenders. High undecided shares, limited early advertising, and Minas Gerais's large electorate sustain the tightness, with separation likely to emerge from candidate visibility in the coming weeks, coalition consolidation ahead of the October vote, or shifts in turnout among key regional blocs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
Получит ли Жанайна Рива второй по количеству голосов результат на выборах в Сенат Мату-Гроссу в 2026 году?
Выиграет ли Капитан Альберто Нето второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Амазонаса 2026 года?
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы