Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds a clear lead for first place in the October 4, 2026 Goiás Senate contest, leaving a fragmented fight for second among a crowded field. Recent Quaest polling showed Caiado at 20% with Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Gayer (PL) clustered between 9-10%, amid 31% undecideds. Alternative surveys place Gayer ahead of Cardoso in the battle for the remaining seat. Traders assign Gayer the highest probability at 52.5% for second, reflecting his PL base and modest polling momentum, while Cardoso, Mendanha, and others trail due to split opposition votes and lower name recognition. High undecideds and shifting coalitions keep the second-place outcome fluid until late-campaign consolidation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГуставо Гайер 53%
Грасинья Каяду 20%
Густаво Менданья 14%
Иуре Кастро 4.7%
$18,760 Объем
$18,760 Объем

Густаво Гайер
53%

Грасинья Каяду
20%

Густаво Менданья
14%

Иуре Кастро
5%

Вандерлан Кардозу
5%

Синтия Диас
4%

Эрнесто Роллер
2%

Доктор Захариас Калил
2%

Гильерме Даркес
1%

Осеяс Варао
<1%

Изаура Лемос
<1%
Густаво Гайер 53%
Грасинья Каяду 20%
Густаво Менданья 14%
Иуре Кастро 4.7%
$18,760 Объем
$18,760 Объем

Густаво Гайер
53%

Грасинья Каяду
20%

Густаво Менданья
14%

Иуре Кастро
5%

Вандерлан Кардозу
5%

Синтия Диас
4%

Эрнесто Роллер
2%

Доктор Захариас Калил
2%

Гильерме Даркес
1%

Осеяс Варао
<1%

Изаура Лемос
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) holds a clear lead for first place in the October 4, 2026 Goiás Senate contest, leaving a fragmented fight for second among a crowded field. Recent Quaest polling showed Caiado at 20% with Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), and Gustavo Gayer (PL) clustered between 9-10%, amid 31% undecideds. Alternative surveys place Gayer ahead of Cardoso in the battle for the remaining seat. Traders assign Gayer the highest probability at 52.5% for second, reflecting his PL base and modest polling momentum, while Cardoso, Mendanha, and others trail due to split opposition votes and lower name recognition. High undecideds and shifting coalitions keep the second-place outcome fluid until late-campaign consolidation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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