Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) commands the leading implied probability in the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race following his late-July convention launch as the head of a broad center-right coalition that includes União Brasil, MDB, PP, and allied parties. Traders have priced this coalition strength, Bezerra’s decisive 2024 re-election as Mossoró mayor with 78 percent of the vote, and earlier 2026 surveys showing him ahead into a strong favorite position ahead of the October 4 first round. Cadu Xavier (PT) and Álvaro Dias (PL) trail in market pricing despite a July AtlasIntel poll placing the PT candidate in front; the gap reflects trader emphasis on Bezerra’s territorial organization and cross-party alliances over single-poll snapshots. Lower-priced names such as Professor Roberio Paulino and Rodrigo Bolsonaro remain marginal, with no recent developments shifting their limited viability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАллисон 75%
Каду де Лула 19%
Альваро Диас 7%
Профессор Роберио Паулино 2.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Аллисон
75%
Каду де Лула
19%
Альваро Диас
7%
Профессор Роберио Паулино
2%
Родриго Болсонару
1%
Энрике Лира
1%
Карлос Жарарака
1%
Ариналда до МЛБ
<1%
Дариу Барбоза
<1%
Аллисон 75%
Каду де Лула 19%
Альваро Диас 7%
Профессор Роберио Паулино 2.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Аллисон
$1,612 Объем
75%
Каду де Лула
$382 Объем
19%
Альваро Диас
$219 Объем
7%
Профессор Роберио Паулино
$251 Объем
2%
Родриго Болсонару
$261 Объем
1%
Энрике Лира
$262 Объем
1%
Карлос Жарарака
$240 Объем
1%
Ариналда до МЛБ
$237 Объем
<1%
Дариу Барбоза
$229 Объем
<1%
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) commands the leading implied probability in the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race following his late-July convention launch as the head of a broad center-right coalition that includes União Brasil, MDB, PP, and allied parties. Traders have priced this coalition strength, Bezerra’s decisive 2024 re-election as Mossoró mayor with 78 percent of the vote, and earlier 2026 surveys showing him ahead into a strong favorite position ahead of the October 4 first round. Cadu Xavier (PT) and Álvaro Dias (PL) trail in market pricing despite a July AtlasIntel poll placing the PT candidate in front; the gap reflects trader emphasis on Bezerra’s territorial organization and cross-party alliances over single-poll snapshots. Lower-priced names such as Professor Roberio Paulino and Rodrigo Bolsonaro remain marginal, with no recent developments shifting their limited viability.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Объем
$3,691Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) commands the leading implied probability in the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race following his late-July convention launch as the head of a broad center-right coalition that includes União Brasil, MDB, PP, and allied parties. Traders have priced this coalition strength, Bezerra’s decisive 2024 re-election as Mossoró mayor with 78 percent of the vote, and earlier 2026 surveys showing him ahead into a strong favorite position ahead of the October 4 first round. Cadu Xavier (PT) and Álvaro Dias (PL) trail in market pricing despite a July AtlasIntel poll placing the PT candidate in front; the gap reflects trader emphasis on Bezerra’s territorial organization and cross-party alliances over single-poll snapshots. Lower-priced names such as Professor Roberio Paulino and Rodrigo Bolsonaro remain marginal, with no recent developments shifting their limited viability.
The Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$3,691Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Allyson Bezerra (União Brasil) commands the leading implied probability in the Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial race following his late-July convention launch as the head of a broad center-right coalition that includes União Brasil, MDB, PP, and allied parties. Traders have priced this coalition strength, Bezerra’s decisive 2024 re-election as Mossoró mayor with 78 percent of the vote, and earlier 2026 surveys showing him ahead into a strong favorite position ahead of the October 4 first round. Cadu Xavier (PT) and Álvaro Dias (PL) trail in market pricing despite a July AtlasIntel poll placing the PT candidate in front; the gap reflects trader emphasis on Bezerra’s territorial organization and cross-party alliances over single-poll snapshots. Lower-priced names such as Professor Roberio Paulino and Rodrigo Bolsonaro remain marginal, with no recent developments shifting their limited viability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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