Skip to main content
icon for Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Политика·Основные выборы

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Политика·Основные выборы

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Luciano Zucco 61%

Juliana Brizola 36%

Gabriel Souza 3.9%

Marcelo Maranata <1%

Polymarket

$91,095 Объем

Luciano Zucco 61%

Juliana Brizola 36%

Gabriel Souza 3.9%

Marcelo Maranata <1%

Polymarket

$91,095 Объем

Luciano Zucco

$40,147 Объем

61%

Juliana Brizola

$32,459 Объем

36%

Gabriel Souza

$9,514 Объем

4%

Marcelo Maranata

$6,524 Объем

<1%

Luis Carlos Heinze

$2,452 Объем

<1%

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco of the PL holds a 61% implied probability in the October 4, 2026, Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race according to trader consensus, ahead of Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 35.5%. The open contest created by term limits on incumbent Eduardo Leite has allowed Zucco to consolidate right-wing support, including potential alliances with PP and Republicans, giving him an edge in projected runoff scenarios amid national polarization. Recent July polling shows Zucco and Brizola in a technical first-round tie near 22-24%, with Gabriel Souza (MDB), the vice governor backed by the centrist coalition, polling much lower. Brizola leads left-leaning voters but faces structural challenges expanding beyond that base, while minor candidates trail significantly. Market pricing reflects expectations of stronger right-wing turnout and coalition dynamics in later rounds.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$91,095
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco of the PL holds a 61% implied probability in the October 4, 2026, Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race according to trader consensus, ahead of Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 35.5%. The open contest created by term limits on incumbent Eduardo Leite has allowed Zucco to consolidate right-wing support, including potential alliances with PP and Republicans, giving him an edge in projected runoff scenarios amid national polarization. Recent July polling shows Zucco and Brizola in a technical first-round tie near 22-24%, with Gabriel Souza (MDB), the vice governor backed by the centrist coalition, polling much lower. Brizola leads left-leaning voters but faces structural challenges expanding beyond that base, while minor candidates trail significantly. Market pricing reflects expectations of stronger right-wing turnout and coalition dynamics in later rounds.

The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$91,095
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Аллисон губернаторские выборы в Риу-Гранди-ду-Норти в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Аллисон губернаторские выборы в Риу-Гранди-ду-Норти в 2026 году?

77%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Эдуарду Ридел выборы губернатора Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Эдуарду Ридел выборы губернатора Мату-Гросу-ду-Сул в 2026 году?

93%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Эдуарду Паэс выборы губернатора Рио-де-Жанейро?

Выиграет ли Эдуарду Паэс выборы губернатора Рио-де-Жанейро?

96%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Luciano Zucco» с 61%, за ним следует «Juliana Brizola» с 36%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 61¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 61%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $91.1K с момента запуска рынка May 28, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» — «Luciano Zucco» с 61%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 61%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Juliana Brizola» с 36%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.