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icon for Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Сеаре
Политика·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Сеаре

icon for Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Сеаре
Политика·Бразилия

Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Сеаре

Лула 97.6%

Флавио Болсонару 1.4%

Клариана Барао <1%

Эдмилсон Коста <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Лула 97.6%

Флавио Болсонару 1.4%

Клариана Барао <1%

Эдмилсон Коста <1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Лула

Лула

$2,388 Объем

98%

icon for Флавио Болсонару

Флавио Болсонару

$660 Объем

1%

icon for Клариана Барао

Клариана Барао

$337 Объем

1%

icon for Эдмилсон Коста

Эдмилсон Коста

$387 Объем

1%

icon for Самара

Самара

$367 Объем

1%

icon for Ветеринар Вильсон Грасси

Ветеринар Вильсон Грасси

$317 Объем

1%

icon for Роналду Каяду

Роналду Каяду

$562 Объем

1%

icon for Хертц Диас

Хертц Диас

$317 Объем

<1%

icon for Пабло Марсал

Пабло Марсал

$317 Объем

<1%

icon for Писатель Аугусто Кури

Писатель Аугусто Кури

$337 Объем

<1%

icon for Ренан Сантос

Ренан Сантос

$325 Объем

<1%

icon for Руй Кошта Пиментa

Руй Кошта Пиментa

$307 Объем

<1%

icon for Зема

Зема

$377 Объем

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding position in Ceará for first place in the October 2026 first round reflects the state's longstanding alignment with the Workers' Party and the incumbent president's Northeast base, reinforced by recent national polling showing him at 38–42% ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and smaller challengers. Trader consensus at 97.7% for Lula incorporates the start of formal campaigning on August 16, his party nomination with Geraldo Alckmin, and limited regional polling indicating weaker opposition traction locally compared to national averages. Factors such as Ceará's socioeconomic profile and historical voting patterns continue to favor the incumbent over right-leaning alternatives like Bolsonaro or Ronaldo Caiado. Late developments including economic shifts, candidate alliances, or turnout surprises in the final weeks before the vote could still narrow margins, though current evidence points to structural advantages sustaining the lead.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$6,997
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding position in Ceará for first place in the October 2026 first round reflects the state's longstanding alignment with the Workers' Party and the incumbent president's Northeast base, reinforced by recent national polling showing him at 38–42% ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and smaller challengers. Trader consensus at 97.7% for Lula incorporates the start of formal campaigning on August 16, his party nomination with Geraldo Alckmin, and limited regional polling indicating weaker opposition traction locally compared to national averages. Factors such as Ceará's socioeconomic profile and historical voting patterns continue to favor the incumbent over right-leaning alternatives like Bolsonaro or Ronaldo Caiado. Late developments including economic shifts, candidate alliances, or turnout surprises in the final weeks before the vote could still narrow margins, though current evidence points to structural advantages sustaining the lead.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$6,997
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Ceará, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Ceará. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Ceará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Связанные

icon for Получит ли Флавио Болсонару наибольшее количество голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии от Сан-Паулу?

Получит ли Флавио Болсонару наибольшее количество голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии от Сан-Паулу?

82%
Да
icon for Сможет ли Лула набрать наибольшее количество голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии в Пернамбуку?

Сможет ли Лула набрать наибольшее количество голосов на следующих президентских выборах в Бразилии в Пернамбуку?

97%
Да
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

64%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Сеаре» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 13 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Лула» с 98%, за ним следует «Флавио Болсонару» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 98¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Сеаре» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 17, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Сеаре», просмотри 13 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Сеаре» — «Лула» с 98%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Флавио Болсонару» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Сеаре» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.