Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages as the sitting executive. Recent surveys, including one showing him at 54.7% of valid votes against Valmir de Francisquinho's 35.5%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the formal campaign period that began in mid-August following candidate registration deadlines. Valmir (Republicanos) trails at 18% amid a fragmented field of lower-visibility contenders such as Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, each below 1%. Market prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing Fábio's path to outright victory or a favorable runoff, though late shifts in undecided voters or coalition dynamics could still influence outcomes before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФабио 74%
Вальмир де Франсискиньо 18%
Тати Кристина де Жезус <1%
Эмануэль Кашо <1%
$10,749 Объем
$10,749 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Фабио
74%
Вальмир де Франсискиньо
18%
Тати Кристина де Жезус
1%
Эмануэль Кашо
1%
Доктор Хелтон
<1%
Рикардо Маркес
<1%
Фабио 74%
Вальмир де Франсискиньо 18%
Тати Кристина де Жезус <1%
Эмануэль Кашо <1%
$10,749 Объем
$10,749 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Фабио
$8,247 Объем
74%
Вальмир де Франсискиньо
$941 Объем
18%
Тати Кристина де Жезус
$330 Объем
1%
Эмануэль Кашо
$391 Объем
1%
Доктор Хелтон
$455 Объем
<1%
Рикардо Маркес
$385 Объем
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages as the sitting executive. Recent surveys, including one showing him at 54.7% of valid votes against Valmir de Francisquinho's 35.5%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the formal campaign period that began in mid-August following candidate registration deadlines. Valmir (Republicanos) trails at 18% amid a fragmented field of lower-visibility contenders such as Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, each below 1%. Market prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing Fábio's path to outright victory or a favorable runoff, though late shifts in undecided voters or coalition dynamics could still influence outcomes before election day.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Объем
$10,749Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages as the sitting executive. Recent surveys, including one showing him at 54.7% of valid votes against Valmir de Francisquinho's 35.5%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the formal campaign period that began in mid-August following candidate registration deadlines. Valmir (Republicanos) trails at 18% amid a fragmented field of lower-visibility contenders such as Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, each below 1%. Market prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing Fábio's path to outright victory or a favorable runoff, though late shifts in undecided voters or coalition dynamics could still influence outcomes before election day.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$10,749Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri, the PSD incumbent governor of Sergipe seeking re-election, anchors trader consensus at 73.5% for the October 4, 2026 first-round vote due to consistent polling leads and structural advantages as the sitting executive. Recent surveys, including one showing him at 54.7% of valid votes against Valmir de Francisquinho's 35.5%, reinforce this positioning ahead of the formal campaign period that began in mid-August following candidate registration deadlines. Valmir (Republicanos) trails at 18% amid a fragmented field of lower-visibility contenders such as Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho, Dr. Helton, and Taty Cristina de Jesus, each below 1%. Market prices reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing Fábio's path to outright victory or a favorable runoff, though late shifts in undecided voters or coalition dynamics could still influence outcomes before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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