Recent polling in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern shows the SPD under Minister President Manuela Schwesig gaining ground ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, with the latest Insa survey placing the party at 35 percent and the AfD at 37 percent. Other recent surveys from Infratest dimap and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen similarly position the SPD between 33 and 34 percent. This narrowing gap reflects steady SPD momentum over the past month, driven by voter assessments of the incumbent state government and coalition dynamics with the Left party. Current trader consensus on a 31 percent or higher SPD result aligns with these aggregates and the limited remaining campaign window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено31%+ 88%
28-31% 9%
25-28% 3.6%
<25% 2.3%
$101,078 Объем
$101,078 Объем
<25%
2%
25-28%
4%
28-31%
9%
31%+
88%
31%+ 88%
28-31% 9%
25-28% 3.6%
<25% 2.3%
$101,078 Объем
$101,078 Объем
<25%
2%
25-28%
4%
28-31%
9%
31%+
88%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern shows the SPD under Minister President Manuela Schwesig gaining ground ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, with the latest Insa survey placing the party at 35 percent and the AfD at 37 percent. Other recent surveys from Infratest dimap and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen similarly position the SPD between 33 and 34 percent. This narrowing gap reflects steady SPD momentum over the past month, driven by voter assessments of the incumbent state government and coalition dynamics with the Left party. Current trader consensus on a 31 percent or higher SPD result aligns with these aggregates and the limited remaining campaign window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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