Recent polling ahead of the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election shows Die Linke holding steady near 10 percent, consistent with its 9.9 percent result in 2021. Multiple institutes, including INSA, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and Infratest dimap, place the party between 9 and 12 percent in surveys conducted through mid-September, supporting trader focus on the 8-11 percent band. As junior partner in the incumbent SPD-Left coalition under Minister President Manuela Schwesig, Die Linke benefits from the coalition’s combined left-leaning support but faces pressure from AfD gains and limited independent momentum. No major party-specific events have shifted its position in the final days, leaving the outcome range aligned with the narrow band of late-campaign survey averages.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено8–11% 55%
<8% 20.3%
11–14% 20%
14%+ 4.6%
$81,722 Объем
$81,722 Объем
<8%
20%
8–11%
55%
11–14%
20%
14%+
5%
8–11% 55%
<8% 20.3%
11–14% 20%
14%+ 4.6%
$81,722 Объем
$81,722 Объем
<8%
20%
8–11%
55%
11–14%
20%
14%+
5%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 2:34 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of the September 20 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election shows Die Linke holding steady near 10 percent, consistent with its 9.9 percent result in 2021. Multiple institutes, including INSA, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and Infratest dimap, place the party between 9 and 12 percent in surveys conducted through mid-September, supporting trader focus on the 8-11 percent band. As junior partner in the incumbent SPD-Left coalition under Minister President Manuela Schwesig, Die Linke benefits from the coalition’s combined left-leaning support but faces pressure from AfD gains and limited independent momentum. No major party-specific events have shifted its position in the final days, leaving the outcome range aligned with the narrow band of late-campaign survey averages.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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