Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate a low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 23, driven by a compressed marine layer and moderate southwest onshore flow that limits further nocturnal cooling. This pattern aligns with seasonal norms near 56°F while recent observations show overnight minima holding around 57–59°F amid mostly cloudy skies. Trader consensus on the 58–59°F bin reflects the strong model agreement and lack of significant atmospheric shifts, though variability in exact microclimate readings near the coast could allow modest downside risk if stratus thickens overnight. Resolution will hinge on official minimums from stations like San Francisco International Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 23 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сан-Франциско 23 августа?
58-59°F 75%
52-53°F 26%
54-55°F 26%
50-51°F 13.6%
$1,237 Объем
$1,237 Объем
23 авг. 2026 г.
49°F или ниже
<1%
50-51°F
14%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
26%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
77%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F или выше
<1%
58-59°F 75%
52-53°F 26%
54-55°F 26%
50-51°F 13.6%
$1,237 Объем
$1,237 Объем
23 авг. 2026 г.
49°F или ниже
$113 Объем
<1%
50-51°F
$155 Объем
14%
52-53°F
$5 Объем
26%
54-55°F
$5 Объем
26%
56-57°F
$10 Объем
2%
58-59°F
$171 Объем
77%
60-61°F
$158 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$105 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$145 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$195 Объем
<1%
68°F или выше
$174 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate a low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 23, driven by a compressed marine layer and moderate southwest onshore flow that limits further nocturnal cooling. This pattern aligns with seasonal norms near 56°F while recent observations show overnight minima holding around 57–59°F amid mostly cloudy skies. Trader consensus on the 58–59°F bin reflects the strong model agreement and lack of significant atmospheric shifts, though variability in exact microclimate readings near the coast could allow modest downside risk if stratus thickens overnight. Resolution will hinge on official minimums from stations like San Francisco International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Объем
$1,237Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate a low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 23, driven by a compressed marine layer and moderate southwest onshore flow that limits further nocturnal cooling. This pattern aligns with seasonal norms near 56°F while recent observations show overnight minima holding around 57–59°F amid mostly cloudy skies. Trader consensus on the 58–59°F bin reflects the strong model agreement and lack of significant atmospheric shifts, though variability in exact microclimate readings near the coast could allow modest downside risk if stratus thickens overnight. Resolution will hinge on official minimums from stations like San Francisco International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,237Дата окончания
23 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate a low in the upper 50s for San Francisco on August 23, driven by a compressed marine layer and moderate southwest onshore flow that limits further nocturnal cooling. This pattern aligns with seasonal norms near 56°F while recent observations show overnight minima holding around 57–59°F amid mostly cloudy skies. Trader consensus on the 58–59°F bin reflects the strong model agreement and lack of significant atmospheric shifts, though variability in exact microclimate readings near the coast could allow modest downside risk if stratus thickens overnight. Resolution will hinge on official minimums from stations like San Francisco International Airport.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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