**Trader consensus has converged on a 13°C low for Paris on August 23, 2026, with 98% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds.** Official forecasts from sources aligned with Météo-France and GFS runs show morning minima near 12–15°C following the prior day’s 13.4°C reading, consistent with late-August climatology after a period of warmer anomalies earlier in the month. Dry air and light winds favor efficient surface cooling without significant cloud trapping of heat. A shift to clearer skies or weaker winds could allow the minimum to dip toward 11–12°C, while persistent cloud cover or a wind direction change might hold it above 14°C; however, current observational trends and ensemble guidance strongly support the 13°C outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 23 августа?
13°C 98%
11°C 2%
12°C <1%
9°C <1%
8°C или ниже
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
1%
13°C
98%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C или выше
<1%
13°C 98%
11°C 2%
12°C <1%
9°C <1%
8°C или ниже
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
1%
13°C
98%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on a 13°C low for Paris on August 23, 2026, with 98% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds.** Official forecasts from sources aligned with Météo-France and GFS runs show morning minima near 12–15°C following the prior day’s 13.4°C reading, consistent with late-August climatology after a period of warmer anomalies earlier in the month. Dry air and light winds favor efficient surface cooling without significant cloud trapping of heat. A shift to clearer skies or weaker winds could allow the minimum to dip toward 11–12°C, while persistent cloud cover or a wind direction change might hold it above 14°C; however, current observational trends and ensemble guidance strongly support the 13°C outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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