Recent forecasts from major models highlight elevated overnight lows in NYC for September 2, driven by persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 70°F, and widespread cloud cover with showers that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions keep minimum temperatures clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 68–71°F outcomes. Warm, humid air masses from the Atlantic have maintained above-normal readings through late August into early September, with little evidence of a cooling front arriving in time. Official guidance emphasizes minimal diurnal temperature ranges under overcast skies, supporting trader consensus on the narrow band near 70°F while leaving room for slight downward revisions if clearing occurs overnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 2 сентября?
70-71°F 52%
72–73°F 38%
68-69°F 32%
64–65°F 25%
63°F или ниже
10%
64–65°F
25%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
52%
72–73°F
38%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82°F или выше
3%
70-71°F 52%
72–73°F 38%
68-69°F 32%
64–65°F 25%
63°F или ниже
10%
64–65°F
25%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
32%
70-71°F
52%
72–73°F
38%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
2%
82°F или выше
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major models highlight elevated overnight lows in NYC for September 2, driven by persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 70°F, and widespread cloud cover with showers that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions keep minimum temperatures clustered in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 68–71°F outcomes. Warm, humid air masses from the Atlantic have maintained above-normal readings through late August into early September, with little evidence of a cooling front arriving in time. Official guidance emphasizes minimal diurnal temperature ranges under overcast skies, supporting trader consensus on the narrow band near 70°F while leaving room for slight downward revisions if clearing occurs overnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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