Wellington, New Zealand, experiences peak September gusts shaped by its position in the Roaring Forties and compression of westerly flows through Cook Strait, where topography accelerates winds between the Tararua and Marlborough ranges. A strengthening super El Niño this spring is expected to favor more frequent and intense northwesterlies than climatological norms, with historical data showing gusts exceeding 96 km/h on multiple days at exposed sites like the airport. Early-month model runs indicate variable pressure gradients that could produce isolated peaks near or above 102 km/h if strong synoptic systems align, while calmer periods might cap the monthly maximum below 90 km/h. Trader equilibrium around the three bins reflects uncertainty in the timing and intensity of these events through the rest of the month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПик порывов ветра в самом ветреном городе мира в сентябре
89 km/h or below 50%
90 to 101 km/h 50%
102 km/h or above 50%
89 km/h or below
50%
90 to 101 km/h
50%
102 km/h or above
50%
89 km/h or below 50%
90 to 101 km/h 50%
102 km/h or above 50%
89 km/h or below
50%
90 to 101 km/h
50%
102 km/h or above
50%
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Wellington, New Zealand, experiences peak September gusts shaped by its position in the Roaring Forties and compression of westerly flows through Cook Strait, where topography accelerates winds between the Tararua and Marlborough ranges. A strengthening super El Niño this spring is expected to favor more frequent and intense northwesterlies than climatological norms, with historical data showing gusts exceeding 96 km/h on multiple days at exposed sites like the airport. Early-month model runs indicate variable pressure gradients that could produce isolated peaks near or above 102 km/h if strong synoptic systems align, while calmer periods might cap the monthly maximum below 90 km/h. Trader equilibrium around the three bins reflects uncertainty in the timing and intensity of these events through the rest of the month.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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