Northerly winds and transitional spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere are the main drivers lifting market-implied odds toward 23–24 °C highs for Buenos Aires on 2 September. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance points to a 21 °C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with northwest flow, while several international models and ensembles show potential for 1–3 °C warmer readings if cloud cover thins or winds strengthen during peak heating hours. Low precipitation risk and modest dew points limit evaporative cooling, but forecast spread in maximum temperature—arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave radiation—keeps 21 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Updated model runs and SMN briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Буэнос-Айресе 2 сентября?
24°C 35%
23°C 32%
21°C 20%
20°C 19%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
19%
21°C
20%
22°C
16%
23°C
32%
24°C
35%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
8%
24°C 35%
23°C 32%
21°C 20%
20°C 19%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
19%
21°C
20%
22°C
16%
23°C
32%
24°C
35%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Northerly winds and transitional spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere are the main drivers lifting market-implied odds toward 23–24 °C highs for Buenos Aires on 2 September. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance points to a 21 °C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with northwest flow, while several international models and ensembles show potential for 1–3 °C warmer readings if cloud cover thins or winds strengthen during peak heating hours. Low precipitation risk and modest dew points limit evaporative cooling, but forecast spread in maximum temperature—arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave radiation—keeps 21 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Updated model runs and SMN briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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