Recent official forecasts from Brazilian agencies like CGE/Inmet and international models (GFS/ECMWF) project a high near 32°C for São Paulo on August 31, driven by northerly flow advecting warmer air under partly cloudy skies with low humidity (~30% afternoon) and strong insolation. This exceeds typical late-August averages of 22–25°C, supporting elevated readings, though sea-breeze clouds or minor model cooling could cap peaks near or below 30°C. A sharp cold-front arrival on September 1 adds tail risk for lower values. Trader consensus (58% on ≤29°C) reflects this forecast spread and measurement criteria at official stations, with probabilities declining sharply above 32°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 31 августа?
29°C или ниже 58%
30°C 16%
31°C 12%
32°C 9%
$20,457 Объем
$20,457 Объем
29°C или ниже
58%
30°C
16%
31°C
12%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C или выше
<1%
29°C или ниже 58%
30°C 16%
31°C 12%
32°C 9%
$20,457 Объем
$20,457 Объем
29°C или ниже
58%
30°C
16%
31°C
12%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Brazilian agencies like CGE/Inmet and international models (GFS/ECMWF) project a high near 32°C for São Paulo on August 31, driven by northerly flow advecting warmer air under partly cloudy skies with low humidity (~30% afternoon) and strong insolation. This exceeds typical late-August averages of 22–25°C, supporting elevated readings, though sea-breeze clouds or minor model cooling could cap peaks near or below 30°C. A sharp cold-front arrival on September 1 adds tail risk for lower values. Trader consensus (58% on ≤29°C) reflects this forecast spread and measurement criteria at official stations, with probabilities declining sharply above 32°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы