Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by a distant tropical depression east of Luzon, is sustaining overcast skies, frequent showers, and southwest winds of 10–20 km/h across Metro Manila on August 31. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 26–28 °C. High humidity (80–90 %) and persistent cloud cover reduce the typical 4–6 °C diurnal range, while any brief clear intervals or lighter winds could allow brief drops toward 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and latest global model runs show minimal spread in overnight lows, producing the market’s near-even probabilities across the 23–28 °C band and negligible odds for extremes. Updated forecast discussions and morning observations will refine the final recorded minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Маниле 31 августа?
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
27°C 27%
23°C 26%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
26°C 28%
24°C 27%
27°C 27%
23°C 26%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, reinforced by a distant tropical depression east of Luzon, is sustaining overcast skies, frequent showers, and southwest winds of 10–20 km/h across Metro Manila on August 31. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling and keep minimum temperatures tightly clustered near 26–28 °C. High humidity (80–90 %) and persistent cloud cover reduce the typical 4–6 °C diurnal range, while any brief clear intervals or lighter winds could allow brief drops toward 24–25 °C. Official PAGASA guidance and latest global model runs show minimal spread in overnight lows, producing the market’s near-even probabilities across the 23–28 °C band and negligible odds for extremes. Updated forecast discussions and morning observations will refine the final recorded minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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