Recent Hong Kong Observatory minimum temperature readings and model consensus for late August point to stable subtropical conditions, with overnight lows near 26°C driven by high sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea, light winds, and limited radiative cooling under humid air masses. The absence of typhoon activity or cold fronts in the final week of the month kept temperatures aligned with climatological norms rather than seasonal extremes. Traders have weighted the 26°C outcome heavily because official verification criteria rely on HKO station data, and short-range forecasts showed little deviation from the 25–27°C baseline. Upcoming resolution will hinge on the precise daily minimum recorded on August 31, with any urban heat-island adjustments or station-specific values potentially influencing the final settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 31 августа?
26°C 77.7%
24°C 5.2%
27°C 3.0%
23°C <1%
$19,103 Объем
$19,103 Объем
21°C or below
-
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
78%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
-
26°C 77.7%
24°C 5.2%
27°C 3.0%
23°C <1%
$19,103 Объем
$19,103 Объем
21°C or below
-
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
78%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
-
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory minimum temperature readings and model consensus for late August point to stable subtropical conditions, with overnight lows near 26°C driven by high sea-surface temperatures in the South China Sea, light winds, and limited radiative cooling under humid air masses. The absence of typhoon activity or cold fronts in the final week of the month kept temperatures aligned with climatological norms rather than seasonal extremes. Traders have weighted the 26°C outcome heavily because official verification criteria rely on HKO station data, and short-range forecasts showed little deviation from the 25–27°C baseline. Upcoming resolution will hinge on the precise daily minimum recorded on August 31, with any urban heat-island adjustments or station-specific values potentially influencing the final settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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