Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 23 indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity levels above 70%, and elevated dew points that limit overnight radiational cooling. Official model consensus and surface observations show temperatures holding in the mid-20s Celsius through the night, consistent with above-average warmth for late August and aligning with trader consensus on the 25°C outcome. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of stable atmospheric conditions rather than typical seasonal lows around 21°C. Clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could allow greater cooling and shift the actual minimum lower, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Пекине 23 августа?
25°C 95%
23°C 9%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
95%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 95%
23°C 9%
24°C 2%
21°C <1%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
2%
25°C
95%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Beijing on August 23 indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity levels above 70%, and elevated dew points that limit overnight radiational cooling. Official model consensus and surface observations show temperatures holding in the mid-20s Celsius through the night, consistent with above-average warmth for late August and aligning with trader consensus on the 25°C outcome. This positioning reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of stable atmospheric conditions rather than typical seasonal lows around 21°C. Clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could allow greater cooling and shift the actual minimum lower, though current guidance shows low likelihood of such changes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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