Morgan Stanley’s 77.5% implied probability reflects its leadership of Anthropic’s expanding $15 billion revolving credit facility and recent investor pricing discussions, positioning the bank for the lead-left role in the anticipated mid-October IPO marketing. Goldman Sachs at 20.5% benefits from its prominent credit commitment and expected stabilization-agent duties, consistent with its track record on large technology offerings like SpaceX. Lower probabilities for JPMorgan and others align with their supporting syndicate positions rather than top billing. The credit facility serves as an early proxy for underwriting hierarchy, with commitments tiered to reward the most active lenders ahead of the Nasdaq listing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMorgan Stanley 78%
Goldman Sachs 21%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$59,383 Объем
$59,383 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Morgan Stanley
78%
Goldman Sachs
21%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 78%
Goldman Sachs 21%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$59,383 Объем
$59,383 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Morgan Stanley
$15,381 Объем
78%
Goldman Sachs
$10,625 Объем
21%
JPMorgan
$11,108 Объем
<1%
Bank of America
$4,289 Объем
<1%
Citigroup
$4,355 Объем
<1%
Barclays
$3,179 Объем
<1%
UBS
$3,500 Объем
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$4,228 Объем
<1%
Wells Fargo
$2,716 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s 77.5% implied probability reflects its leadership of Anthropic’s expanding $15 billion revolving credit facility and recent investor pricing discussions, positioning the bank for the lead-left role in the anticipated mid-October IPO marketing. Goldman Sachs at 20.5% benefits from its prominent credit commitment and expected stabilization-agent duties, consistent with its track record on large technology offerings like SpaceX. Lower probabilities for JPMorgan and others align with their supporting syndicate positions rather than top billing. The credit facility serves as an early proxy for underwriting hierarchy, with commitments tiered to reward the most active lenders ahead of the Nasdaq listing.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Объем
$59,383Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s 77.5% implied probability reflects its leadership of Anthropic’s expanding $15 billion revolving credit facility and recent investor pricing discussions, positioning the bank for the lead-left role in the anticipated mid-October IPO marketing. Goldman Sachs at 20.5% benefits from its prominent credit commitment and expected stabilization-agent duties, consistent with its track record on large technology offerings like SpaceX. Lower probabilities for JPMorgan and others align with their supporting syndicate positions rather than top billing. The credit facility serves as an early proxy for underwriting hierarchy, with commitments tiered to reward the most active lenders ahead of the Nasdaq listing.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$59,383Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Morgan Stanley’s 77.5% implied probability reflects its leadership of Anthropic’s expanding $15 billion revolving credit facility and recent investor pricing discussions, positioning the bank for the lead-left role in the anticipated mid-October IPO marketing. Goldman Sachs at 20.5% benefits from its prominent credit commitment and expected stabilization-agent duties, consistent with its track record on large technology offerings like SpaceX. Lower probabilities for JPMorgan and others align with their supporting syndicate positions rather than top billing. The credit facility serves as an early proxy for underwriting hierarchy, with commitments tiered to reward the most active lenders ahead of the Nasdaq listing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
71%
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T?
49%
Будет ли рыночная капитализация Anthropic составлять 600 млрд долларов США или больше к моменту закрытия рынка в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?
96%
Да
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