Morgan Stanley’s commanding 81% implied probability reflects its pole position for the lead-left underwriter role in Anthropic’s anticipated IPO, driven by its leadership of the company’s expanding $15 billion revolving credit facility and recent investor discussions on pricing. Goldman Sachs, at 18%, is widely expected to serve as stabilization agent, a lucrative but secondary assignment, consistent with its role on the SpaceX offering. JPMorgan and Citigroup hold supporting syndicate positions tied to prior debt commitments. The AI firm’s confidential S-1 filing and preparations for a potential late-September prospectus and mid-October marketing push have reinforced trader consensus around the top two banks, with the $2 trillion-plus valuation target underscoring the deal’s scale and the importance of established capital-markets expertise.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMorgan Stanley 81%
Goldman Sachs 18%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$59,856 Объем
$59,856 Объем
Morgan Stanley
81%
Goldman Sachs
18%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 81%
Goldman Sachs 18%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$59,856 Объем
$59,856 Объем
Morgan Stanley
81%
Goldman Sachs
18%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Morgan Stanley’s commanding 81% implied probability reflects its pole position for the lead-left underwriter role in Anthropic’s anticipated IPO, driven by its leadership of the company’s expanding $15 billion revolving credit facility and recent investor discussions on pricing. Goldman Sachs, at 18%, is widely expected to serve as stabilization agent, a lucrative but secondary assignment, consistent with its role on the SpaceX offering. JPMorgan and Citigroup hold supporting syndicate positions tied to prior debt commitments. The AI firm’s confidential S-1 filing and preparations for a potential late-September prospectus and mid-October marketing push have reinforced trader consensus around the top two banks, with the $2 trillion-plus valuation target underscoring the deal’s scale and the importance of established capital-markets expertise.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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