Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat, with the incumbent Russ Fulcher securing the party nomination in the May 2026 primary by a wide margin after previously winning reelection with 71 percent of the vote. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district’s partisan voting index, consistent conservative performance in recent cycles, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Kaylee Peterson’s Democratic nomination and the presence of an independent candidate have not shifted the underlying voter composition or fundraising dynamics. Trader consensus on a Republican victory reflects these structural factors. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national political shift that alters turnout patterns before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоID-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
ID-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$48,101 Объем
$48,101 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
95%
Демократическая партия
4%
$48,101 Объем
$48,101 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$32,492 Объем
95%
Демократическая партия
$15,610 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat, with the incumbent Russ Fulcher securing the party nomination in the May 2026 primary by a wide margin after previously winning reelection with 71 percent of the vote. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district’s partisan voting index, consistent conservative performance in recent cycles, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Kaylee Peterson’s Democratic nomination and the presence of an independent candidate have not shifted the underlying voter composition or fundraising dynamics. Trader consensus on a Republican victory reflects these structural factors. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national political shift that alters turnout patterns before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$48,101Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat, with the incumbent Russ Fulcher securing the party nomination in the May 2026 primary by a wide margin after previously winning reelection with 71 percent of the vote. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district’s partisan voting index, consistent conservative performance in recent cycles, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Kaylee Peterson’s Democratic nomination and the presence of an independent candidate have not shifted the underlying voter composition or fundraising dynamics. Trader consensus on a Republican victory reflects these structural factors. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national political shift that alters turnout patterns before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$48,101Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 1st congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat, with the incumbent Russ Fulcher securing the party nomination in the May 2026 primary by a wide margin after previously winning reelection with 71 percent of the vote. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican based on the district’s partisan voting index, consistent conservative performance in recent cycles, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Kaylee Peterson’s Democratic nomination and the presence of an independent candidate have not shifted the underlying voter composition or fundraising dynamics. Trader consensus on a Republican victory reflects these structural factors. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal involving the incumbent or an extraordinary national political shift that alters turnout patterns before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы