Recent short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 35°C in Wuhan on August 9, supporting the leading market-implied odds at 36% for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Yangtze River valley, combined with strong solar heating, light northerly winds, and typical August humidity levels near 70%, favors this range, with historical baselines showing average highs of 32–34°C that can shift 1–2°C based on minor cloud cover or moisture advection. The close clustering of probabilities for 34°C and 36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in the final model runs, which will update through the weekend ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 9 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Ухане 9 августа?
35°C 36%
34°C 27%
36°C 25%
37°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
27%
35°C
36%
36°C
25%
37°C
7%
38°C
2%
39°C или выше
1%
35°C 36%
34°C 27%
36°C 25%
37°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
$371 Объем
<1%
30°C
$22 Объем
<1%
31°C
$230 Объем
2%
32°C
$28 Объем
2%
33°C
$20 Объем
6%
34°C
$785 Объем
27%
35°C
$93 Объем
36%
36°C
$1,271 Объем
25%
37°C
$72 Объем
7%
38°C
$330 Объем
2%
39°C или выше
$42 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 35°C in Wuhan on August 9, supporting the leading market-implied odds at 36% for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Yangtze River valley, combined with strong solar heating, light northerly winds, and typical August humidity levels near 70%, favors this range, with historical baselines showing average highs of 32–34°C that can shift 1–2°C based on minor cloud cover or moisture advection. The close clustering of probabilities for 34°C and 36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in the final model runs, which will update through the weekend ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$3,264Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 35°C in Wuhan on August 9, supporting the leading market-implied odds at 36% for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Yangtze River valley, combined with strong solar heating, light northerly winds, and typical August humidity levels near 70%, favors this range, with historical baselines showing average highs of 32–34°C that can shift 1–2°C based on minor cloud cover or moisture advection. The close clustering of probabilities for 34°C and 36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in the final model runs, which will update through the weekend ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,264Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 35°C in Wuhan on August 9, supporting the leading market-implied odds at 36% for that outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure over the Yangtze River valley, combined with strong solar heating, light northerly winds, and typical August humidity levels near 70%, favors this range, with historical baselines showing average highs of 32–34°C that can shift 1–2°C based on minor cloud cover or moisture advection. The close clustering of probabilities for 34°C and 36°C reflects genuine uncertainty in the final model runs, which will update through the weekend ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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