Current forecast consensus from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, points to peak temperatures of 36–38°C in Guangzhou on August 7 amid subtropical summer conditions with limited cloud cover and moderate southerly flow. Persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation support surface heating near or above seasonal norms of 33–35°C, while high humidity limits overnight cooling and elevates apparent temperatures. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, with the latest runs showing minimal cooling influences such as frontal passages or typhoon activity. Official resolution will hinge on the verified maximum from designated urban stations, and any last-minute adjustments in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the distribution within the 36–38°C cluster that currently dominates market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 7 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 7 августа?
37°C 46%
38°C 28%
36°C 21%
39°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
30°C или ниже
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
4%
36°C
21%
37°C
46%
38°C
28%
39°C
5%
40°C или выше
1%
37°C 46%
38°C 28%
36°C 21%
39°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
30°C или ниже
$487 Объем
<1%
31°C
$296 Объем
<1%
32°C
$278 Объем
<1%
33°C
$368 Объем
<1%
34°C
$961 Объем
1%
35°C
$317 Объем
4%
36°C
$588 Объем
21%
37°C
$1,552 Объем
46%
38°C
$1,319 Объем
28%
39°C
$1,636 Объем
5%
40°C или выше
$464 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, points to peak temperatures of 36–38°C in Guangzhou on August 7 amid subtropical summer conditions with limited cloud cover and moderate southerly flow. Persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation support surface heating near or above seasonal norms of 33–35°C, while high humidity limits overnight cooling and elevates apparent temperatures. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, with the latest runs showing minimal cooling influences such as frontal passages or typhoon activity. Official resolution will hinge on the verified maximum from designated urban stations, and any last-minute adjustments in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the distribution within the 36–38°C cluster that currently dominates market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$8,267Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, points to peak temperatures of 36–38°C in Guangzhou on August 7 amid subtropical summer conditions with limited cloud cover and moderate southerly flow. Persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation support surface heating near or above seasonal norms of 33–35°C, while high humidity limits overnight cooling and elevates apparent temperatures. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, with the latest runs showing minimal cooling influences such as frontal passages or typhoon activity. Official resolution will hinge on the verified maximum from designated urban stations, and any last-minute adjustments in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the distribution within the 36–38°C cluster that currently dominates market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,267Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from global and regional models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, points to peak temperatures of 36–38°C in Guangzhou on August 7 amid subtropical summer conditions with limited cloud cover and moderate southerly flow. Persistent high pressure and strong solar insolation support surface heating near or above seasonal norms of 33–35°C, while high humidity limits overnight cooling and elevates apparent temperatures. Ensemble spreads remain narrow for this short-range outlook, with the latest runs showing minimal cooling influences such as frontal passages or typhoon activity. Official resolution will hinge on the verified maximum from designated urban stations, and any last-minute adjustments in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the distribution within the 36–38°C cluster that currently dominates market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы