Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) form the core driver behind the tight contest between 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with ensemble means centering near 27.5°C and limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime heating. A transitioning synoptic pattern—waning high pressure allowing increased cloud cover and a shift toward slightly cooler maritime air—has lowered expectations from the 31–36°C readings recorded earlier in the week. Key variables include solar insolation under variable skies, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which keep 29°C plausible but lower-probability in the latest model consensus. Updated short-range guidance and observational verification tomorrow morning will narrow the remaining range before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 7 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 7 августа?
27°C 42%
28°C 39%
29°C 18%
26°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$41,206 Объем
НОВОЕ
$41,206 Объем
7 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
6%
27°C
42%
28°C
39%
29°C
18%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 39%
29°C 18%
26°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$41,206 Объем
НОВОЕ
$41,206 Объем
7 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$281 Объем
<1%
22°C
$671 Объем
<1%
23°C
$647 Объем
<1%
24°C
$1,091 Объем
<1%
25°C
$2,068 Объем
<1%
26°C
$5,047 Объем
6%
27°C
$9,855 Объем
42%
28°C
$5,526 Объем
39%
29°C
$8,195 Объем
18%
30°C
$4,691 Объем
1%
31°C or higher
$3,135 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) form the core driver behind the tight contest between 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with ensemble means centering near 27.5°C and limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime heating. A transitioning synoptic pattern—waning high pressure allowing increased cloud cover and a shift toward slightly cooler maritime air—has lowered expectations from the 31–36°C readings recorded earlier in the week. Key variables include solar insolation under variable skies, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which keep 29°C plausible but lower-probability in the latest model consensus. Updated short-range guidance and observational verification tomorrow morning will narrow the remaining range before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$41,206Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) form the core driver behind the tight contest between 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with ensemble means centering near 27.5°C and limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime heating. A transitioning synoptic pattern—waning high pressure allowing increased cloud cover and a shift toward slightly cooler maritime air—has lowered expectations from the 31–36°C readings recorded earlier in the week. Key variables include solar insolation under variable skies, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which keep 29°C plausible but lower-probability in the latest model consensus. Updated short-range guidance and observational verification tomorrow morning will narrow the remaining range before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$41,206Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) form the core driver behind the tight contest between 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with ensemble means centering near 27.5°C and limited spread reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime heating. A transitioning synoptic pattern—waning high pressure allowing increased cloud cover and a shift toward slightly cooler maritime air—has lowered expectations from the 31–36°C readings recorded earlier in the week. Key variables include solar insolation under variable skies, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any frontal passage, all of which keep 29°C plausible but lower-probability in the latest model consensus. Updated short-range guidance and observational verification tomorrow morning will narrow the remaining range before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы