Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office point to daytime maxima near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 9, yet trader consensus heavily favors 27°C or 28°C. This positioning reflects the moderating influence of Bosphorus sea breezes and potential afternoon cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to inland model guidance. With outcomes closely matched, the narrow gap hinges on subtle variables such as exact wind direction and strength, timing of maximum solar heating under typical August high pressure, and microclimate effects at official Turkish Meteorological Service stations. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether localized cooling keeps readings at or below 28°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 9 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 9 августа?
27°C 43%
28°C 38%
29°C 12%
26°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
43%
28°C
38%
29°C
12%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C или выше
<1%
27°C 43%
28°C 38%
29°C 12%
26°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$35 Объем
<1%
24°C
$18 Объем
<1%
25°C
$38 Объем
3%
26°C
$21 Объем
10%
27°C
$1,672 Объем
43%
28°C
$50 Объем
38%
29°C
$23 Объем
12%
30°C
$44 Объем
2%
31°C
$29 Объем
2%
32°C
$5 Объем
2%
33°C или выше
$29 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office point to daytime maxima near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 9, yet trader consensus heavily favors 27°C or 28°C. This positioning reflects the moderating influence of Bosphorus sea breezes and potential afternoon cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to inland model guidance. With outcomes closely matched, the narrow gap hinges on subtle variables such as exact wind direction and strength, timing of maximum solar heating under typical August high pressure, and microclimate effects at official Turkish Meteorological Service stations. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether localized cooling keeps readings at or below 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$1,963Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office point to daytime maxima near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 9, yet trader consensus heavily favors 27°C or 28°C. This positioning reflects the moderating influence of Bosphorus sea breezes and potential afternoon cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to inland model guidance. With outcomes closely matched, the narrow gap hinges on subtle variables such as exact wind direction and strength, timing of maximum solar heating under typical August high pressure, and microclimate effects at official Turkish Meteorological Service stations. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether localized cooling keeps readings at or below 28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,963Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including the UK Met Office point to daytime maxima near 28–29°C for Istanbul on August 9, yet trader consensus heavily favors 27°C or 28°C. This positioning reflects the moderating influence of Bosphorus sea breezes and potential afternoon cloud cover, which can suppress peak readings by 1–2°C relative to inland model guidance. With outcomes closely matched, the narrow gap hinges on subtle variables such as exact wind direction and strength, timing of maximum solar heating under typical August high pressure, and microclimate effects at official Turkish Meteorological Service stations. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify whether localized cooling keeps readings at or below 28°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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