Current ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models points to an afternoon maximum of 28–29 °C in Istanbul on August 7 under persistent high pressure, producing the tight 41.5 % / 37.5 % market split. Local sea-breeze circulation off the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea frequently caps observed peaks 1–3 °C below free-air model values, while urban heat-island effects and exact cloud timing introduce the narrow uncertainty between those two bins. August climatology shows average highs of 28–30 °C, so traders are weighting microscale moderation more heavily than broad model output. The Turkish Meteorological Service station readings will resolve the market, with final model updates expected overnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 7 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 7 августа?
28°C 42%
29°C 38%
27°C 13%
30°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
13%
28°C
42%
29°C
38%
30°C
7%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C или выше
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 38%
27°C 13%
30°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
24°C или ниже
$628 Объем
<1%
25°C
$589 Объем
<1%
26°C
$538 Объем
2%
27°C
$633 Объем
13%
28°C
$1,035 Объем
42%
29°C
$910 Объем
38%
30°C
$389 Объем
7%
31°C
$299 Объем
<1%
32°C
$367 Объем
<1%
33°C
$514 Объем
<1%
34°C или выше
$746 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models points to an afternoon maximum of 28–29 °C in Istanbul on August 7 under persistent high pressure, producing the tight 41.5 % / 37.5 % market split. Local sea-breeze circulation off the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea frequently caps observed peaks 1–3 °C below free-air model values, while urban heat-island effects and exact cloud timing introduce the narrow uncertainty between those two bins. August climatology shows average highs of 28–30 °C, so traders are weighting microscale moderation more heavily than broad model output. The Turkish Meteorological Service station readings will resolve the market, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Объем
$6,648Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models points to an afternoon maximum of 28–29 °C in Istanbul on August 7 under persistent high pressure, producing the tight 41.5 % / 37.5 % market split. Local sea-breeze circulation off the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea frequently caps observed peaks 1–3 °C below free-air model values, while urban heat-island effects and exact cloud timing introduce the narrow uncertainty between those two bins. August climatology shows average highs of 28–30 °C, so traders are weighting microscale moderation more heavily than broad model output. The Turkish Meteorological Service station readings will resolve the market, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,648Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models points to an afternoon maximum of 28–29 °C in Istanbul on August 7 under persistent high pressure, producing the tight 41.5 % / 37.5 % market split. Local sea-breeze circulation off the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea frequently caps observed peaks 1–3 °C below free-air model values, while urban heat-island effects and exact cloud timing introduce the narrow uncertainty between those two bins. August climatology shows average highs of 28–30 °C, so traders are weighting microscale moderation more heavily than broad model output. The Turkish Meteorological Service station readings will resolve the market, with final model updates expected overnight.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы