Current meteorological forecasts from MetService and other agencies project a daily maximum near 13°C for Wellington on August 7, aligning with typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Trader consensus around this outcome reflects model consensus on moderate northerly flows, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and no strong cold fronts or high-pressure systems altering the pattern. Historical data show August maxima averaging 12–13°C, with 14°C possible only under clearer or warmer advection scenarios. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts, keeping implied probabilities stable as the short-range forecast window tightens.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 7 августа?
13°C 56%
12°C 29%
14°C 14%
11°C 3%
$13,490 Объем
$13,490 Объем
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
29%
13°C
56%
14°C
14%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 56%
12°C 29%
14°C 14%
11°C 3%
$13,490 Объем
$13,490 Объем
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
29%
13°C
56%
14°C
14%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts from MetService and other agencies project a daily maximum near 13°C for Wellington on August 7, aligning with typical mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere. Trader consensus around this outcome reflects model consensus on moderate northerly flows, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and no strong cold fronts or high-pressure systems altering the pattern. Historical data show August maxima averaging 12–13°C, with 14°C possible only under clearer or warmer advection scenarios. Recent model runs have shown minimal shifts, keeping implied probabilities stable as the short-range forecast window tightens.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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