Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models points to a daily maximum of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 25 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes typical of late-summer conditions. These factors, combined with historical August averages near 30–32°C and no developing heatwave or blocking pattern, position 33°C as the leading outcome with market-implied odds at 55.5%. Recent mid-month heat and thunderstorm activity have eased without establishing anomalous warmth, keeping probabilities concentrated on 32–34°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine this outlook ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тель-Авиве 25 августа?
33°C 56%
34°C 27%
32°C 12%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
12%
33°C
56%
34°C
27%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 56%
34°C 27%
32°C 12%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
12%
33°C
56%
34°C
27%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models points to a daily maximum of 31–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 25 under stable high pressure, light westerly flow, and moderating Mediterranean sea breezes typical of late-summer conditions. These factors, combined with historical August averages near 30–32°C and no developing heatwave or blocking pattern, position 33°C as the leading outcome with market-implied odds at 55.5%. Recent mid-month heat and thunderstorm activity have eased without establishing anomalous warmth, keeping probabilities concentrated on 32–34°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine this outlook ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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