**Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35–36 °C for Taipei on 4 August under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies with low rain probability.** This aligns with long-term August climatology, where average highs reach 32–34 °C amid the East Asian summer monsoon, high humidity, and minimal frontal activity. Recent model runs show stable atmospheric conditions without incoming typhoons or strong cold-air intrusions that could alter the temperature profile. Trader consensus at 99.3 % for exactly 35 °C reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment, as skin-in-the-game markets aggregate real-time data on steering patterns, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated surge in convective activity or a rapid model shift lowering the maximum by 2 °C or more, but current consensus from authoritative sources leaves little room for such deviation before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тайбэе 4 августа?
35°C 99.3%
36°C <1%
29°C или ниже <1%
30°C <1%
$35,216 Объем
$35,216 Объем
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
99%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C или выше
<1%
35°C 99.3%
36°C <1%
29°C или ниже <1%
30°C <1%
$35,216 Объем
$35,216 Объем
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
99%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35–36 °C for Taipei on 4 August under mostly cloudy to partly clear skies with low rain probability.** This aligns with long-term August climatology, where average highs reach 32–34 °C amid the East Asian summer monsoon, high humidity, and minimal frontal activity. Recent model runs show stable atmospheric conditions without incoming typhoons or strong cold-air intrusions that could alter the temperature profile. Trader consensus at 99.3 % for exactly 35 °C reflects this strong observational and forecast alignment, as skin-in-the-game markets aggregate real-time data on steering patterns, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat-island effects. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated surge in convective activity or a rapid model shift lowering the maximum by 2 °C or more, but current consensus from authoritative sources leaves little room for such deviation before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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