Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs project a daytime high of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 5 under persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Southwesterly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s and near-normal early-September climatology further cap peaks near the upper end of that range. Current observations show temperatures climbing toward 18°C amid showers, aligning with the market's strong 65.5% implied probability for 18°C and secondary 26% chance for 19°C. Any brief clearing could allow a marginal overshoot, while heavier rain or sustained cloud would anchor the maximum at or below 18°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 5 сентября?
18°C 65%
19°C 35%
20°C 5%
21°C <1%
$25,945 Объем
$25,945 Объем
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
56%
19°C
39%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
18°C 65%
19°C 35%
20°C 5%
21°C <1%
$25,945 Объем
$25,945 Объем
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
56%
19°C
39%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting model runs project a daytime high of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 5 under persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating. Southwesterly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s and near-normal early-September climatology further cap peaks near the upper end of that range. Current observations show temperatures climbing toward 18°C amid showers, aligning with the market's strong 65.5% implied probability for 18°C and secondary 26% chance for 19°C. Any brief clearing could allow a marginal overshoot, while heavier rain or sustained cloud would anchor the maximum at or below 18°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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