Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 5 amid persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms, with southerly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s and surface pressure near 740–750 mmHg. These conditions suppress solar heating and align with current observations hovering near 14–16°C, keeping the daily peak near the upper end of the narrow range. Historical September 5 averages near 18.5°C provide context, yet the active frontal system and 40–100% precipitation probabilities today favor 18°C as the consensus high among traders, reflected in its 59% implied probability. Lower outcomes remain possible only if heavy rain intensifies further, while any brief clearing could support 19°C. Updated model runs and real-time station data through afternoon will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 5 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 5 сентября?
18°C 60%
17°C 23%
19°C 16%
16°C 4%
$19,038 Объем
$19,038 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
23%
18°C
60%
19°C
16%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C или выше
<1%
18°C 60%
17°C 23%
19°C 16%
16°C 4%
$19,038 Объем
$19,038 Объем
5 сент. 2026 г.
13°C или ниже
$509 Объем
<1%
14°C
$1,829 Объем
<1%
15°C
$1,801 Объем
2%
16°C
$5,809 Объем
4%
17°C
$1,227 Объем
23%
18°C
$3,048 Объем
60%
19°C
$2,749 Объем
16%
20°C
$790 Объем
2%
21°C
$509 Объем
<1%
22°C
$461 Объем
<1%
23°C или выше
$306 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 5 amid persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms, with southerly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s and surface pressure near 740–750 mmHg. These conditions suppress solar heating and align with current observations hovering near 14–16°C, keeping the daily peak near the upper end of the narrow range. Historical September 5 averages near 18.5°C provide context, yet the active frontal system and 40–100% precipitation probabilities today favor 18°C as the consensus high among traders, reflected in its 59% implied probability. Lower outcomes remain possible only if heavy rain intensifies further, while any brief clearing could support 19°C. Updated model runs and real-time station data through afternoon will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$19,038Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 5 amid persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms, with southerly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s and surface pressure near 740–750 mmHg. These conditions suppress solar heating and align with current observations hovering near 14–16°C, keeping the daily peak near the upper end of the narrow range. Historical September 5 averages near 18.5°C provide context, yet the active frontal system and 40–100% precipitation probabilities today favor 18°C as the consensus high among traders, reflected in its 59% implied probability. Lower outcomes remain possible only if heavy rain intensifies further, while any brief clearing could support 19°C. Updated model runs and real-time station data through afternoon will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$19,038Дата окончания
5 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate daytime highs of 16–18°C in Moscow on September 5 amid persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and thunderstorms, with southerly winds shifting westerly at 6–11 m/s and surface pressure near 740–750 mmHg. These conditions suppress solar heating and align with current observations hovering near 14–16°C, keeping the daily peak near the upper end of the narrow range. Historical September 5 averages near 18.5°C provide context, yet the active frontal system and 40–100% precipitation probabilities today favor 18°C as the consensus high among traders, reflected in its 59% implied probability. Lower outcomes remain possible only if heavy rain intensifies further, while any brief clearing could support 19°C. Updated model runs and real-time station data through afternoon will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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