Traders heavily favor the 100-101°F bin at 62.5% implied probability because National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport project a daily high of 101°F under fair skies and light southerly winds on August 4, 2026. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 96°F, yet persistent summer heat and limited cloud cover support readings in the low 100s. The 102-103°F range trails at 19.5% amid minor model spread on peak afternoon temperatures, while cooler outcomes below 100°F remain unlikely given current surface observations near 90°F with rising heat indices. No major frontal passages or precipitation are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Далласе 4 августа?
100-101°F 60%
102-103°F 26%
98-99°F 14%
97°F или ниже 1.8%
$13,969 Объем
$13,969 Объем
97°F или ниже
2%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
60%
102-103°F
26%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F или выше
<1%
100-101°F 60%
102-103°F 26%
98-99°F 14%
97°F или ниже 1.8%
$13,969 Объем
$13,969 Объем
97°F или ниже
2%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
60%
102-103°F
26%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor the 100-101°F bin at 62.5% implied probability because National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport project a daily high of 101°F under fair skies and light southerly winds on August 4, 2026. Typical August climatology shows average highs near 96°F, yet persistent summer heat and limited cloud cover support readings in the low 100s. The 102-103°F range trails at 19.5% amid minor model spread on peak afternoon temperatures, while cooler outcomes below 100°F remain unlikely given current surface observations near 90°F with rising heat indices. No major frontal passages or precipitation are expected to alter the trajectory before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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