**Official station observations from Austin on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum in the upper 90s, with multiple sites reporting 99–100°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 98-99°F outcome, reflecting the consensus of National Weather Service data and historical patterns for late-August highs averaging around 95°F. Persistent regional heat but no extreme advection or clear-sky intensification pushed readings just into this narrow band rather than the low 100s. The 0.1% probability on 100-101°F accounts for possible station-to-station variance or post-event data revisions, though current verified maxima make such outcomes highly improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 29 августа?
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F или ниже <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$21,501 Объем
$21,501 Объем
89°F или ниже
Нет
90-91°F
Нет
92-93°F
Нет
94-95°F
Нет
96–97°F
Нет
98-99°F
Да
100-101°F
Нет
102-103°F
Нет
104-105°F
Нет
106-107°F
Нет
108°F или выше
Нет
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F или ниже <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$21,501 Объем
$21,501 Объем
89°F или ниже
Нет
90-91°F
Нет
92-93°F
Нет
94-95°F
Нет
96–97°F
Нет
98-99°F
Да
100-101°F
Нет
102-103°F
Нет
104-105°F
Нет
106-107°F
Нет
108°F или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
**Official station observations from Austin on August 29, 2026, recorded a daily maximum in the upper 90s, with multiple sites reporting 99–100°F under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s near-certain 98-99°F outcome, reflecting the consensus of National Weather Service data and historical patterns for late-August highs averaging around 95°F. Persistent regional heat but no extreme advection or clear-sky intensification pushed readings just into this narrow band rather than the low 100s. The 0.1% probability on 100-101°F accounts for possible station-to-station variance or post-event data revisions, though current verified maxima make such outcomes highly improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы