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icon for Самая высокая температура в Остине 30 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Остине 30 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Остине 30 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Остине 30 августа?

авг. 30

авг. 31

сент. 1

авг. 30

авг. 31

сент. 1

98-99°F 63%

100-101°F 31%

96-97°F 7%

94-95°F 2%

Polymarket

$12,580 Объем

98-99°F 63%

100-101°F 31%

96-97°F 7%

94-95°F 2%

Polymarket

$12,580 Объем

89°F или ниже

$250 Объем

<1%

90-91°F

$230 Объем

<1%

92–93°F

$145 Объем

<1%

94-95°F

$387 Объем

2%

96-97°F

$989 Объем

7%

98-99°F

$7,439 Объем

63%

100-101°F

$2,281 Объем

31%

102-103°F

$557 Объем

1%

104-105°F

$273 Объем

1%

106-107°F

$150 Объем

<1%

108°F или выше

$140 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the National Weather Service project a sunny day with light southerly winds, supporting a daily maximum near 98–99°F for Austin on August 30—slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 94.8°F but consistent with late-summer patterns under high pressure. Consensus across multiple forecasts centers on upper 90s to low 100s, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F (65.5% implied probability) versus 100–101°F (31%), as traders incorporate the latest runs showing limited intensification potential from typical August heating and humidity. Afternoon heat indices may exceed 100°F, but resolution hinges on the official highest observed temperature.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$12,580
Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and official guidance from sources like the National Weather Service project a sunny day with light southerly winds, supporting a daily maximum near 98–99°F for Austin on August 30—slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 94.8°F but consistent with late-summer patterns under high pressure. Consensus across multiple forecasts centers on upper 90s to low 100s, with minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk keeping temperatures from deviating sharply. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F (65.5% implied probability) versus 100–101°F (31%), as traders incorporate the latest runs showing limited intensification potential from typical August heating and humidity. Afternoon heat indices may exceed 100°F, but resolution hinges on the official highest observed temperature.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$12,580
Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Связанные

icon for Будет ли самая низкая температура в Остине в пределах 72-73°F 30 августа?

Будет ли самая низкая температура в Остине в пределах 72-73°F 30 августа?

89%
Да
icon for Будет ли самая низкая температура в Остине от 74 до 75°F 31 августа?

Будет ли самая низкая температура в Остине от 74 до 75°F 31 августа?

39%
Да
icon for Будет ли самая высокая температура в Остине от 98 до 99°F 1 сентября?

Будет ли самая высокая температура в Остине от 98 до 99°F 1 сентября?

43%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Остине 30 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «98-99°F» с 63%, за ним следует «100-101°F» с 31%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 63¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 63%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Остине 30 августа?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $12.6K с момента запуска рынка Aug 28, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Остине 30 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Остине 30 августа?» — «98-99°F» с 63%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 63%. Следующий ближайший исход — «100-101°F» с 31%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Остине 30 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.