Trader consensus on 21°C as the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30, 2026, reflects real-time observational data and short-range model outputs showing afternoon maxima near 20–21°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain or drizzle, and southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph. Official guidance from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services aligns with this range, consistent with the long-term average high of 21.1°C for the date and recent seasonal conditions without anomalous warming. The market-implied 99.5% probability for exactly 21°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty bands typical of same-day forecasts, where small variations in measurement timing or station-specific readings could still shift the final official value by 1°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 30 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 30 августа?
21°C 99.6%
22°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
16°C или ниже <1%
$38,234 Объем
$38,234 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
100%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C или выше
<1%
21°C 99.6%
22°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
16°C или ниже <1%
$38,234 Объем
$38,234 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
16°C или ниже
$1,177 Объем
<1%
17°C
$119 Объем
<1%
18°C
$952 Объем
<1%
19°C
$3,352 Объем
<1%
20°C
$7,965 Объем
<1%
21°C
$10,143 Объем
100%
22°C
$7,956 Объем
1%
23°C
$5,299 Объем
<1%
24°C
$760 Объем
<1%
25°C
$115 Объем
<1%
26°C или выше
$396 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 21°C as the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30, 2026, reflects real-time observational data and short-range model outputs showing afternoon maxima near 20–21°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain or drizzle, and southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph. Official guidance from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services aligns with this range, consistent with the long-term average high of 21.1°C for the date and recent seasonal conditions without anomalous warming. The market-implied 99.5% probability for exactly 21°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty bands typical of same-day forecasts, where small variations in measurement timing or station-specific readings could still shift the final official value by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$38,234Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 21°C as the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30, 2026, reflects real-time observational data and short-range model outputs showing afternoon maxima near 20–21°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain or drizzle, and southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph. Official guidance from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services aligns with this range, consistent with the long-term average high of 21.1°C for the date and recent seasonal conditions without anomalous warming. The market-implied 99.5% probability for exactly 21°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty bands typical of same-day forecasts, where small variations in measurement timing or station-specific readings could still shift the final official value by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$38,234Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 21°C as the highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 30, 2026, reflects real-time observational data and short-range model outputs showing afternoon maxima near 20–21°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain or drizzle, and southwesterly winds of 10–20 mph. Official guidance from agencies including the Met Office and local meteorological services aligns with this range, consistent with the long-term average high of 21.1°C for the date and recent seasonal conditions without anomalous warming. The market-implied 99.5% probability for exactly 21°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty bands typical of same-day forecasts, where small variations in measurement timing or station-specific readings could still shift the final official value by 1°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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