Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 15–16°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly flow ahead of a weakening frontal system and widespread thundershowers that limit radiative cooling while advecting modestly cooler maritime air. Cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing will determine whether the minimum settles at 14°C (under clearer breaks or heavier rain) or holds near 16°C (with sustained cloudiness and warmer advection). The near-even market shares among these outcomes reflect typical short-range model spread in boundary-layer temperature under unsettled late-summer conditions, with new model runs and observational updates expected to narrow the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Амстердаме 31 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Амстердаме 31 августа?
16°C 27%
14°C 27%
15°C 26%
17°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
9%
18°C
5%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 27%
14°C 27%
15°C 26%
17°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 авг. 2026 г.
11°C or below
$5 Объем
<1%
12°C
$100 Объем
<1%
13°C
$150 Объем
2%
14°C
$0 Объем
27%
15°C
$0 Объем
26%
16°C
$0 Объем
27%
17°C
$0 Объем
9%
18°C
$0 Объем
5%
19°C
$5 Объем
<1%
20°C
$5 Объем
<1%
21°C or higher
$5 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 15–16°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly flow ahead of a weakening frontal system and widespread thundershowers that limit radiative cooling while advecting modestly cooler maritime air. Cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing will determine whether the minimum settles at 14°C (under clearer breaks or heavier rain) or holds near 16°C (with sustained cloudiness and warmer advection). The near-even market shares among these outcomes reflect typical short-range model spread in boundary-layer temperature under unsettled late-summer conditions, with new model runs and observational updates expected to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$270Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 15–16°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly flow ahead of a weakening frontal system and widespread thundershowers that limit radiative cooling while advecting modestly cooler maritime air. Cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing will determine whether the minimum settles at 14°C (under clearer breaks or heavier rain) or holds near 16°C (with sustained cloudiness and warmer advection). The near-even market shares among these outcomes reflect typical short-range model spread in boundary-layer temperature under unsettled late-summer conditions, with new model runs and observational updates expected to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$270Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 15–16°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly flow ahead of a weakening frontal system and widespread thundershowers that limit radiative cooling while advecting modestly cooler maritime air. Cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing will determine whether the minimum settles at 14°C (under clearer breaks or heavier rain) or holds near 16°C (with sustained cloudiness and warmer advection). The near-even market shares among these outcomes reflect typical short-range model spread in boundary-layer temperature under unsettled late-summer conditions, with new model runs and observational updates expected to narrow the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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