Ami Bera, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 primary to face Republican Robb Tucker in the November general election for California’s 3rd congressional district. Post-redistricting, the seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+6 and favored Kamala Harris by double digits in the prior cycle, producing a solid Democratic rating from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Bera’s primary showing and the district’s underlying voter composition have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic hold near 93 percent. A late scandal involving the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican turnout surge, or a major national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural and historical patterns make such reversals uncommon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$34,770 Объем
$34,770 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
5%
$34,770 Объем
$34,770 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$20,091 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$14,679 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ami Bera, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 primary to face Republican Robb Tucker in the November general election for California’s 3rd congressional district. Post-redistricting, the seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+6 and favored Kamala Harris by double digits in the prior cycle, producing a solid Democratic rating from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Bera’s primary showing and the district’s underlying voter composition have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic hold near 93 percent. A late scandal involving the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican turnout surge, or a major national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural and historical patterns make such reversals uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$34,770Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ami Bera, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 primary to face Republican Robb Tucker in the November general election for California’s 3rd congressional district. Post-redistricting, the seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+6 and favored Kamala Harris by double digits in the prior cycle, producing a solid Democratic rating from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Bera’s primary showing and the district’s underlying voter composition have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic hold near 93 percent. A late scandal involving the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican turnout surge, or a major national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural and historical patterns make such reversals uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$34,770Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ami Bera, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 primary to face Republican Robb Tucker in the November general election for California’s 3rd congressional district. Post-redistricting, the seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+6 and favored Kamala Harris by double digits in the prior cycle, producing a solid Democratic rating from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Bera’s primary showing and the district’s underlying voter composition have driven trader consensus toward a Democratic hold near 93 percent. A late scandal involving the incumbent, an unusually strong Republican turnout surge, or a major national political shift could narrow the margin, though structural and historical patterns make such reversals uncommon.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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