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Estados previsões e probabilidades

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United States vs. Paraguay

United States vs. Paraguay

28%

Yes

$234K Vol.

$366K Liq.

Ends em 5 dias

United States vs. Australia

United States vs. Australia

25%

Yes

$33.7K Vol.

$112K Liq.

Ends em 12 dias

Türkiye vs. United States

Türkiye vs. United States

28%

Yes

$6.5K Vol.

$81.9K Liq.

Ends em 18 dias

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

98%

North Carolina

$297K Vol.

$255K Liq.

5

Ends em 5 meses

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

77%

California

$288K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

14

Ends em 7 meses

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

59%

July 31

$29M Vol.

$122K today

$323K Liq.

570

Ends em 22 dias

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

68%

No Meeting by June 30

$8M Vol.

$622K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

World Cup: Fair Play Award Winner

World Cup: Fair Play Award Winner

17%

Spain

$39.2K Vol.

$118K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next?

96%

No meeting by June 30

$8M Vol.

$343K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

31%

United States

$51.9K Vol.

$62.1K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

10%

England

$103K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

59%

No meeting by December 31

$35.2K Vol.

$176K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

How many Tornadoes in the US in May?

How many Tornadoes in the US in May?

98%

<200

$8.7K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 5 horas

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

90%

Police

$2.8K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

World Cup: Furthest Advancing Host Nation

World Cup: Furthest Advancing Host Nation

45%

Mexico

$1.6K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

71%

South Sudan

$14.4K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

81%

1250+

$72.9K Vol.

$10.3K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

42%

160–189

$1.7K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

38%

Keith Sonderling

$45.3K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

10%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$256 Liq.

10

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Estados.

Polymarket currently hosts 826 active markets for Estados that lets you track or trade on predictions like “United States vs. Paraguay”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $47.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 59% chance to July 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Estados predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.