Voter registration expanded significantly in late 2025, adding hundreds of thousands to reach roughly 3.5 million eligible participants ahead of Zambia’s August 13 general election. Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema maintains a clear lead in recent surveys, which may shape turnout through differing mobilization levels among supporters and opposition bases. Pre-election assessments have highlighted ongoing efforts to improve transparency and inclusivity, while economic conditions and pockets of undecided voters introduce uncertainty. These elements keep implied probabilities for turnout bands in the 50-80% range closely balanced among traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleições presidenciais na Zâmbia 1º turno: comparecimento às urnas
Eleições presidenciais na Zâmbia 1º turno: comparecimento às urnas
<50% 44%
70-80% 44%
50-60% 43%
60-70% 43%
NOVO
NOVO
14 ago 2026
<50%
44%
50-60%
43%
60-70%
43%
70-80%
44%
80%+
43%
<50% 44%
70-80% 44%
50-60% 43%
60-70% 43%
NOVO
NOVO
14 ago 2026
<50%
$0 Vol.
44%
50-60%
$0 Vol.
43%
60-70%
$0 Vol.
43%
70-80%
$0 Vol.
44%
80%+
$0 Vol.
43%
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Voter registration expanded significantly in late 2025, adding hundreds of thousands to reach roughly 3.5 million eligible participants ahead of Zambia’s August 13 general election. Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema maintains a clear lead in recent surveys, which may shape turnout through differing mobilization levels among supporters and opposition bases. Pre-election assessments have highlighted ongoing efforts to improve transparency and inclusivity, while economic conditions and pockets of undecided voters introduce uncertainty. These elements keep implied probabilities for turnout bands in the 50-80% range closely balanced among traders.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Mercado Aberto: Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).Voter registration expanded significantly in late 2025, adding hundreds of thousands to reach roughly 3.5 million eligible participants ahead of Zambia’s August 13 general election. Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema maintains a clear lead in recent surveys, which may shape turnout through differing mobilization levels among supporters and opposition bases. Pre-election assessments have highlighted ongoing efforts to improve transparency and inclusivity, while economic conditions and pockets of undecided voters introduce uncertainty. These elements keep implied probabilities for turnout bands in the 50-80% range closely balanced among traders.
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$0Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Voter registration expanded significantly in late 2025, adding hundreds of thousands to reach roughly 3.5 million eligible participants ahead of Zambia’s August 13 general election. Incumbent President Hakainde Hichilema maintains a clear lead in recent surveys, which may shape turnout through differing mobilization levels among supporters and opposition bases. Pre-election assessments have highlighted ongoing efforts to improve transparency and inclusivity, while economic conditions and pockets of undecided voters introduce uncertainty. These elements keep implied probabilities for turnout bands in the 50-80% range closely balanced among traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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