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Política·áfrica

Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana

icon for Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana
Política·áfrica

Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana

Bola Tinubu 69%

Peter Obi 23%

Omoyele Sowore <1%

Rotimi Amaechi <1%

Polymarket

$103,075 Vol.

Bola Tinubu 69%

Peter Obi 23%

Omoyele Sowore <1%

Rotimi Amaechi <1%

Polymarket

$103,075 Vol.

icon for Bola Tinubu

Bola Tinubu

$60,331 Vol.

69%

icon for Peter Obi

Peter Obi

$22,158 Vol.

23%

icon for Omoyele Sowore

Omoyele Sowore

$7,500 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rotimi Amaechi

Rotimi Amaechi

$6,987 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rabiu Kwankwaso

Rabiu Kwankwaso

$6,099 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu holds the leading position in trader consensus for the January 2027 Nigerian presidential election due to his status as the confirmed APC nominee, the ruling party's control of 31 states and a National Assembly supermajority, and the fragmentation of opposition support across multiple tickets. Recent developments include the formal start of campaigning in mid-August 2026, Tinubu's unopposed party primary confirmation alongside running mate Kashim Shettima, and the collapse of broader opposition coalitions, leaving Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso on the NDC ticket, Atiku Abubakar and Rotimi Amaechi on the ADC, and other candidates including Omoyele Sowore on separate platforms. Economic pressures and low incumbent approval ratings have sustained interest in challengers like Obi, yet the split in anti-incumbent votes continues to underpin current implied probabilities.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Volume
$103,075
Data de Término
16 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu holds the leading position in trader consensus for the January 2027 Nigerian presidential election due to his status as the confirmed APC nominee, the ruling party's control of 31 states and a National Assembly supermajority, and the fragmentation of opposition support across multiple tickets. Recent developments include the formal start of campaigning in mid-August 2026, Tinubu's unopposed party primary confirmation alongside running mate Kashim Shettima, and the collapse of broader opposition coalitions, leaving Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso on the NDC ticket, Atiku Abubakar and Rotimi Amaechi on the ADC, and other candidates including Omoyele Sowore on separate platforms. Economic pressures and low incumbent approval ratings have sustained interest in challengers like Obi, yet the split in anti-incumbent votes continues to underpin current implied probabilities.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Volume
$103,075
Data de Término
16 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bola Tinubu" at 69%, followed by "Peter Obi" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana" has generated $103.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2027. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana" is "Bola Tinubu" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Peter Obi" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.