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icon for Ogun, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria

Ogun, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria

icon for Ogun, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria

Ogun, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria

Solomon Olamilekan Adeola 87%

Bolaji Odusina 5%

Rotimi Babajide 4.9%

Oladipupo Adebutu 3.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

Solomon Olamilekan Adeola 87%

Bolaji Odusina 5%

Rotimi Babajide 4.9%

Oladipupo Adebutu 3.0%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Solomon Olamilekan Adeola

Solomon Olamilekan Adeola

$1,249 Vol.

87%

icon for Bolaji Odusina

Bolaji Odusina

$127 Vol.

5%

icon for Rotimi Babajide

Rotimi Babajide

$132 Vol.

5%

icon for Oladipupo Adebutu

Oladipupo Adebutu

$68 Vol.

3%

icon for Biodun Ogundipe

Biodun Ogundipe

$551 Vol.

2%

icon for Okewole Shuaib Olaniyi

Okewole Shuaib Olaniyi

$127 Vol.

2%

icon for Adekunle Adenuga

Adekunle Adenuga

$127 Vol.

1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Solomon Olamilekan Adeola, the All Progressives Congress nominee for Ogun State governor in the 2027 election, holds the leading position in trader assessments following his decisive victory in the party primary and subsequent endorsements from Governor Dapo Abiodun and national APC figures. Party stakeholders cited equity for Ogun West and continuity with the current administration as central factors in unifying behind his candidacy. He recently presented his running mate to President Bola Tinubu and traditional councils, reinforcing internal cohesion ahead of the general election. Other listed contenders, primarily from opposition parties such as the PDP, trail significantly in the market due to limited reported momentum or primary results in the current cycle. The implied probabilities reflect trader focus on APC incumbency advantages and the absence of major recent disruptions to Adeola’s path.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$2,380
Data de Término
6 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Solomon Olamilekan Adeola, the All Progressives Congress nominee for Ogun State governor in the 2027 election, holds the leading position in trader assessments following his decisive victory in the party primary and subsequent endorsements from Governor Dapo Abiodun and national APC figures. Party stakeholders cited equity for Ogun West and continuity with the current administration as central factors in unifying behind his candidacy. He recently presented his running mate to President Bola Tinubu and traditional councils, reinforcing internal cohesion ahead of the general election. Other listed contenders, primarily from opposition parties such as the PDP, trail significantly in the market due to limited reported momentum or primary results in the current cycle. The implied probabilities reflect trader focus on APC incumbency advantages and the absence of major recent disruptions to Adeola’s path.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$2,380
Data de Término
6 fev 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Ogun State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Ogun State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ogun, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Solomon Olamilekan Adeola" at 87%, followed by "Bolaji Odusina" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Ogun, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Ogun, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ogun, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria" is "Solomon Olamilekan Adeola" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bolaji Odusina" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ogun, vencedor da eleição para governador da Nigéria" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.