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RecessãO previsões e probabilidades

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US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

19%

$2M Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

69

Ends em 8 meses

UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

43%

$4.6K Vol.

$242 Liq.

3

Ends em 10 meses

Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

30%

$2.2K Vol.

$634 Liq.

Ends em 10 meses

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

64%

↓ 0.0010

$112K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

71%

$595K Vol.

$30.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

35%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

135

Ends em 7 meses

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 8?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 8?

59%

$730

$2.3K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

Ends em 1 dia

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

8%

$27.6K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

3

Ends em 8 meses

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

10%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$187 Liq.

10

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

90%

Up

$25.4K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

48%

December 31, 2027

$495K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

31

Ends em mais de 1 ano

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

96%

$170 billion

$3.8K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends em 11 meses

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

90%

$1.2B

$6.2K Vol.

$6.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

45%

>2.5%

$29.9K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

38%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$3.8K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

38%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$938 Liq.

5

Ends em 7 meses

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

81%

↓ $730

$151K Vol.

$96.8K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

51%

0-1%

$2.1K Vol.

$558 Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

38%

0-1.0%

$8.9K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

60%

↓ 0.40

$69.0K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

1

Ends em 7 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like RecessãO.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for RecessãO that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US recession by end of 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 35% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on RecessãO predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.