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AliançA DemocráTica previsões e probabilidades

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Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

6%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$567K Vol.

$149K Liq.

15

Ends há 8 dias

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

69%

PSD

$17.8K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

3

DE-AL House Election Winner

DE-AL House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$2.3K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?

Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?

22%

$417 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

5%

$3.1K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

Ends em 22 dias

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

11%

$9.8K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

2

Ends em 22 dias

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$1M today

$67M Liq.

758

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

81%

PVEM

$249 Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

Ends em 12 meses

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

33%

Other

$10.7K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

Ends há 8 dias

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

48%

$8.2K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

OK-04 Democratic Primary Winner

OK-04 Democratic Primary Winner

76%

Jeff Pixley

$1.7K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

59%

National + ACT + NZF

$7.3K Vol.

$35.3K Liq.

5

Ends em 5 meses

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

52%

No election before 2027

$18.6K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

7

Ends há 2 meses

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

48%

Likud

$12.2K Vol.

$72.9K Liq.

2

Ends em 5 meses

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

57%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$25.5K Vol.

$79.8K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

MN-02 Democratic Primary Winner

67%

Matt Little

$33.1K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

39%

$1.5K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

2

Ends em mais de 2 anos

ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner

ME-02 Democratic Primary Winner

73%

Joe Baldacci

$19.6K Vol.

$35.2K Liq.

1

Ends em 1 dia

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?

45%

$70.4K Vol.

$26.9K Liq.

7

Ends em 3 meses

Delaware Senate Election Winner

Delaware Senate Election Winner

95%

Democrat

$12.3K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

Ends em 5 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like AliançA DemocráTica.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for AliançA DemocráTica that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.2B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on AliançA DemocráTica predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.