United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, institutional advantages in single-member districts, and alignment with presidential priorities. Recent party congresses featured prominent nominees such as Sergei Lavrov and Sergei Sobyanin alongside war veterans, reinforcing organizational strength ahead of the vote. New People has risen in some polls as the leading systemic alternative, drawing support amid lower United Russia ratings, yet faces structural limits that keep its probability of topping the seat count well behind. Other parties, including LDPR and KPRF, remain marginal contenders after candidate registrations and court rulings narrowed the field, such as the removal of Yabloko’s list. The three-day voting format and security-related internet measures further favor established structures in the mixed electoral system.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Qual partido ganhará mais assentos nas eleições parlamentares russas?
Rússia Unida (ER) 68%
Novos Pessoas (NL) 24.9%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 4.5%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 1.4%
$25,002,907 Vol.
$25,002,907 Vol.
29 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
68%
Novos Pessoas (NL)
25%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
4%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
1%
Yabloko
<1%
Rodina
<1%
A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rússia Unida (ER) 68%
Novos Pessoas (NL) 24.9%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR) 4.5%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF) 1.4%
$25,002,907 Vol.
$25,002,907 Vol.
29 set 2026
Rússia Unida (ER)
$9,140,272 Vol.
68%
Novos Pessoas (NL)
$2,614,939 Vol.
25%
Partido Liberal Democrático da Rússia (LDPR)
$3,584,046 Vol.
4%
Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)
$1,708,813 Vol.
1%
Yabloko
$1,653,677 Vol.
<1%
Rodina
$2,878,367 Vol.
<1%
A Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)
$2,110,913 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$1,311,880 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, institutional advantages in single-member districts, and alignment with presidential priorities. Recent party congresses featured prominent nominees such as Sergei Lavrov and Sergei Sobyanin alongside war veterans, reinforcing organizational strength ahead of the vote. New People has risen in some polls as the leading systemic alternative, drawing support amid lower United Russia ratings, yet faces structural limits that keep its probability of topping the seat count well behind. Other parties, including LDPR and KPRF, remain marginal contenders after candidate registrations and court rulings narrowed the field, such as the removal of Yabloko’s list. The three-day voting format and security-related internet measures further favor established structures in the mixed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$25,002,907Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, institutional advantages in single-member districts, and alignment with presidential priorities. Recent party congresses featured prominent nominees such as Sergei Lavrov and Sergei Sobyanin alongside war veterans, reinforcing organizational strength ahead of the vote. New People has risen in some polls as the leading systemic alternative, drawing support amid lower United Russia ratings, yet faces structural limits that keep its probability of topping the seat count well behind. Other parties, including LDPR and KPRF, remain marginal contenders after candidate registrations and court rulings narrowed the field, such as the removal of Yabloko’s list. The three-day voting format and security-related internet measures further favor established structures in the mixed electoral system.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volume
$25,002,907Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, institutional advantages in single-member districts, and alignment with presidential priorities. Recent party congresses featured prominent nominees such as Sergei Lavrov and Sergei Sobyanin alongside war veterans, reinforcing organizational strength ahead of the vote. New People has risen in some polls as the leading systemic alternative, drawing support amid lower United Russia ratings, yet faces structural limits that keep its probability of topping the seat count well behind. Other parties, including LDPR and KPRF, remain marginal contenders after candidate registrations and court rulings narrowed the field, such as the removal of Yabloko’s list. The three-day voting format and security-related internet measures further favor established structures in the mixed electoral system.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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Frequently Asked Questions