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icon for Eleição Parlamentar da Rússia: 4º Lugar
Política·Rússia

Eleição Parlamentar da Rússia: 4º Lugar

icon for Eleição Parlamentar da Rússia: 4º Lugar
Política·Rússia

Eleição Parlamentar da Rússia: 4º Lugar

Novo Povo (NL) 47%

Partido Liberal Democrata da Rússia (LDPR) 39%

Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP) 7%

Rodina 3.1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Novo Povo (NL) 47%

Partido Liberal Democrata da Rússia (LDPR) 39%

Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP) 7%

Rodina 3.1%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Novo Povo (NL)

Novo Povo (NL)

$98 Vol.

47%

icon for Partido Liberal Democrata da Rússia (LDPR)

Partido Liberal Democrata da Rússia (LDPR)

$184 Vol.

39%

icon for Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)

Rússia Justa – Pela Verdade (SRZP)

$60 Vol.

7%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$83 Vol.

3%

icon for Plataforma Cívica (GP)

Plataforma Cívica (GP)

$503 Vol.

3%

icon for Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)

Partido Comunista da Federação Russa (KPRF)

$217 Vol.

1%

icon for Rússia Unida (ER)

Rússia Unida (ER)

$187 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms like FOM and WCIOM shows United Russia leading comfortably, followed by a tight cluster among LDPR, KPRF, and New People (NL) near or above the 5% threshold, with SRZP trailing. This positioning keeps the contest for fourth place competitive, as modest shifts in turnout or regional single-member results could reorder the middle pack. Candidate registration closed with only 11 parties on the ballot after Yabloko's exclusion by the Supreme Court and limited new entrants, narrowing options for protest votes. Economic pressures, online restrictions, and attitudes toward the ongoing conflict continue to influence support levels across systemic opposition parties. The September 18–20 voting window leaves limited time for late developments to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$1,332
Data de Término
20 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polling from state-affiliated firms like FOM and WCIOM shows United Russia leading comfortably, followed by a tight cluster among LDPR, KPRF, and New People (NL) near or above the 5% threshold, with SRZP trailing. This positioning keeps the contest for fourth place competitive, as modest shifts in turnout or regional single-member results could reorder the middle pack. Candidate registration closed with only 11 parties on the ballot after Yabloko's exclusion by the Supreme Court and limited new entrants, narrowing options for protest votes. Economic pressures, online restrictions, and attitudes toward the ongoing conflict continue to influence support levels across systemic opposition parties. The September 18–20 voting window leaves limited time for late developments to alter the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation. Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$1,332
Data de Término
20 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição Parlamentar da Rússia: 4º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Novo Povo (NL)" at 47%, followed by "Partido Liberal Democrata da Rússia (LDPR)" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição Parlamentar da Rússia: 4º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição Parlamentar da Rússia: 4º Lugar," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição Parlamentar da Rússia: 4º Lugar" is "Novo Povo (NL)" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Partido Liberal Democrata da Rússia (LDPR)" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição Parlamentar da Rússia: 4º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.