Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Qual empresa tem o melhor agente de IA no final de setembro?

Qual empresa tem o melhor agente de IA no final de setembro?

icon for Qual empresa tem o melhor agente de IA no final de setembro?

Qual empresa tem o melhor agente de IA no final de setembro?

out 1

nov 1

out 1

nov 1

Anthropic 77%

OpenAI 20.0%

Google <1%

Z.ai <1%

Polymarket

$186,167 Vol.

Anthropic 77%

OpenAI 20.0%

Google <1%

Z.ai <1%

Polymarket

$186,167 Vol.

icon for Anthropic

Anthropic

$49,073 Vol.

77%

icon for OpenAI

OpenAI

$26,905 Vol.

20%

icon for Google

Google

$7,587 Vol.

<1%

icon for Z.ai

Z.ai

$7,270 Vol.

<1%

icon for SpaceXAI

SpaceXAI

$7,823 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$7,199 Vol.

<1%

icon for Meta

Meta

$7,501 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alibaba

Alibaba

$7,262 Vol.

<1%

icon for Moonshot

Moonshot

$7,712 Vol.

<1%

icon for DeepSeek

DeepSeek

$7,134 Vol.

<1%

icon for MiniMax

MiniMax

$7,197 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nvidia

Nvidia

$7,266 Vol.

<1%

icon for ByteDance

ByteDance

$7,071 Vol.

<1%

icon for Baidu

Baidu

$7,188 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mistral

Mistral

$7,052 Vol.

<1%

icon for Meituan

Meituan

$7,148 Vol.

<1%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$7,241 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xiaomi

Xiaomi

$539 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads market-implied odds for the best AI agent by end of September due to its rapid rollout of production-ready agent systems. The September 1 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, combined with the September 3 release of open-source Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, has reinforced trader views on its edge in long-horizon tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and enterprise safety controls. Earlier August previews of the Model Hardware Standard and ongoing gains in Claude Code and Managed Agents further highlight demonstrated capabilities in autonomous coding, physical device interaction, and self-improving agents. With resolution imminent, these verified releases and benchmark leads over competitors like OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra sustain the strong consensus, though last-minute model updates could still shift sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$186,167
Data de Término
1 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic leads market-implied odds for the best AI agent by end of September due to its rapid rollout of production-ready agent systems. The September 1 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1, combined with the September 3 release of open-source Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, has reinforced trader views on its edge in long-horizon tool use, multi-agent orchestration, and enterprise safety controls. Earlier August previews of the Model Hardware Standard and ongoing gains in Claude Code and Managed Agents further highlight demonstrated capabilities in autonomous coding, physical device interaction, and self-improving agents. With resolution imminent, these verified releases and benchmark leads over competitors like OpenAI’s recent GPT-6 Astra sustain the strong consensus, though last-minute model updates could still shift sentiment.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$186,167
Data de Término
1 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual empresa tem o melhor agente de IA no final de setembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anthropic" at 77%, followed by "OpenAI" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 77¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual empresa tem o melhor agente de IA no final de setembro?" has generated $186.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual empresa tem o melhor agente de IA no final de setembro?," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual empresa tem o melhor agente de IA no final de setembro?" is "Anthropic" at 77%, meaning the market assigns a 77% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "OpenAI" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual empresa tem o melhor agente de IA no final de setembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.