Traders see a fragmented field for the best AI agent by end of October, with Anthropic holding the highest specific share at 36% amid broad uncertainty reflected in many options near or below 12%. Anthropic’s edge stems from Claude’s demonstrated strengths in long-context reasoning, reliable multi-step tool use, and the Computer Use feature that enables autonomous computer interaction, supported by its April 2026 Agent SDK release. OpenAI follows at 12.5% via Workspace Agents and SDK updates that emphasize enterprise integration and scale, while Google’s 9% reflects Workspace Intelligence and Gemini platform depth. Chinese labs and others trail due to less visible agent benchmarks, leaving room for shifts from new model releases or capability demonstrations before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor agente de IA no final de outubro?
Qual empresa tem o melhor agente de IA no final de outubro?
Moonshot 21%
OpenAI 12%
Xiaomi 12%
Alibaba 11%
NOVO
NOVO
31 out 2026
Moonshot
21%
OpenAI
12%
Xiaomi
12%
Alibaba
11%
SpaceXAI
10%
ByteDance
7%
Amazon
6%
Baidu
5%
Mistral
4%
Microsoft
4%
Meta
4%
9%
MiniMax
2%
Nvidia
2%
Meituan
2%
Z.ai
1%
DeepSeek
25%
Anthropic
37%
Moonshot 21%
OpenAI 12%
Xiaomi 12%
Alibaba 11%
NOVO
NOVO
31 out 2026
Moonshot
$37 Vol.
21%
OpenAI
$45 Vol.
12%
Xiaomi
$47 Vol.
12%
Alibaba
$37 Vol.
11%
SpaceXAI
$37 Vol.
10%
ByteDance
$55 Vol.
7%
Amazon
$61 Vol.
6%
Baidu
$53 Vol.
5%
Mistral
$53 Vol.
4%
Microsoft
$53 Vol.
4%
Meta
$81 Vol.
4%
$37 Vol.
9%
MiniMax
$48 Vol.
2%
Nvidia
$53 Vol.
2%
Meituan
$74 Vol.
2%
Z.ai
$47 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$47 Vol.
25%
Anthropic
$130 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders see a fragmented field for the best AI agent by end of October, with Anthropic holding the highest specific share at 36% amid broad uncertainty reflected in many options near or below 12%. Anthropic’s edge stems from Claude’s demonstrated strengths in long-context reasoning, reliable multi-step tool use, and the Computer Use feature that enables autonomous computer interaction, supported by its April 2026 Agent SDK release. OpenAI follows at 12.5% via Workspace Agents and SDK updates that emphasize enterprise integration and scale, while Google’s 9% reflects Workspace Intelligence and Gemini platform depth. Chinese labs and others trail due to less visible agent benchmarks, leaving room for shifts from new model releases or capability demonstrations before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Volume
$992Data de Término
31 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders see a fragmented field for the best AI agent by end of October, with Anthropic holding the highest specific share at 36% amid broad uncertainty reflected in many options near or below 12%. Anthropic’s edge stems from Claude’s demonstrated strengths in long-context reasoning, reliable multi-step tool use, and the Computer Use feature that enables autonomous computer interaction, supported by its April 2026 Agent SDK release. OpenAI follows at 12.5% via Workspace Agents and SDK updates that emphasize enterprise integration and scale, while Google’s 9% reflects Workspace Intelligence and Gemini platform depth. Chinese labs and others trail due to less visible agent benchmarks, leaving room for shifts from new model releases or capability demonstrations before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$992Data de Término
31 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a fragmented field for the best AI agent by end of October, with Anthropic holding the highest specific share at 36% amid broad uncertainty reflected in many options near or below 12%. Anthropic’s edge stems from Claude’s demonstrated strengths in long-context reasoning, reliable multi-step tool use, and the Computer Use feature that enables autonomous computer interaction, supported by its April 2026 Agent SDK release. OpenAI follows at 12.5% via Workspace Agents and SDK updates that emphasize enterprise integration and scale, while Google’s 9% reflects Workspace Intelligence and Gemini platform depth. Chinese labs and others trail due to less visible agent benchmarks, leaving room for shifts from new model releases or capability demonstrations before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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