Multiple frontier labs maintain closely matched math capabilities on LiveBench, leaving traders with no dominant favorite for the end-of-October snapshot. Strong reasoning performance from Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini 3 models, and several Chinese systems (Z.ai GLM-5, Moonshot Kimi, MiniMax) reflects rapid gains from test-time compute, synthetic math data, and iterative post-training. LiveBench’s frequent refresh of contamination-free problems keeps scores volatile, while upcoming releases or fine-tunes before October could shift relative standings. The even odds capture this fluid competitive landscape and the absence of decisive recent benchmarks favoring any single provider.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no LiveBench (Matemática) no final de outubro?
Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de IA no LiveBench (Matemática) no final de outubro?
Anthropic 47%
Baidu 40%
Microsoft 40%
Mistral 39%
NOVO
NOVO
31 out 2026
Anthropic
47%
Baidu
40%
Microsoft
40%
Mistral
39%
MiniMax
38%
Moonshot
38%
Meta
37%
Z.ai
37%
Alibaba
36%
Amazon
36%
ByteDance
34%
OpenAI
32%
Thinky
32%
StepFun
32%
Nvidia
30%
DeepSeek
24%
SpaceXAI
23%
Tencent
23%
24%
Xiaomi
41%
Meituan
-
Anthropic 47%
Baidu 40%
Microsoft 40%
Mistral 39%
NOVO
NOVO
31 out 2026
Anthropic
$62 Vol.
47%
Baidu
$62 Vol.
40%
Microsoft
$62 Vol.
40%
Mistral
$62 Vol.
39%
MiniMax
$62 Vol.
38%
Moonshot
$62 Vol.
38%
Meta
$67 Vol.
37%
Z.ai
$62 Vol.
37%
Alibaba
$62 Vol.
36%
Amazon
$62 Vol.
36%
ByteDance
$62 Vol.
34%
OpenAI
$67 Vol.
32%
Thinky
$62 Vol.
32%
StepFun
$67 Vol.
32%
Nvidia
$62 Vol.
30%
DeepSeek
$67 Vol.
24%
SpaceXAI
$62 Vol.
23%
Tencent
$62 Vol.
23%
$101 Vol.
24%
Xiaomi
$62 Vol.
41%
Meituan
$62 Vol.
-
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Multiple frontier labs maintain closely matched math capabilities on LiveBench, leaving traders with no dominant favorite for the end-of-October snapshot. Strong reasoning performance from Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini 3 models, and several Chinese systems (Z.ai GLM-5, Moonshot Kimi, MiniMax) reflects rapid gains from test-time compute, synthetic math data, and iterative post-training. LiveBench’s frequent refresh of contamination-free problems keeps scores volatile, while upcoming releases or fine-tunes before October could shift relative standings. The even odds capture this fluid competitive landscape and the absence of decisive recent benchmarks favoring any single provider.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volume
$1,361Data de Término
31 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Multiple frontier labs maintain closely matched math capabilities on LiveBench, leaving traders with no dominant favorite for the end-of-October snapshot. Strong reasoning performance from Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini 3 models, and several Chinese systems (Z.ai GLM-5, Moonshot Kimi, MiniMax) reflects rapid gains from test-time compute, synthetic math data, and iterative post-training. LiveBench’s frequent refresh of contamination-free problems keeps scores volatile, while upcoming releases or fine-tunes before October could shift relative standings. The even odds capture this fluid competitive landscape and the absence of decisive recent benchmarks favoring any single provider.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$1,361Data de Término
31 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Multiple frontier labs maintain closely matched math capabilities on LiveBench, leaving traders with no dominant favorite for the end-of-October snapshot. Strong reasoning performance from Anthropic’s Claude 5 series, OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants, Google’s Gemini 3 models, and several Chinese systems (Z.ai GLM-5, Moonshot Kimi, MiniMax) reflects rapid gains from test-time compute, synthetic math data, and iterative post-training. LiveBench’s frequent refresh of contamination-free problems keeps scores volatile, while upcoming releases or fine-tunes before October could shift relative standings. The even odds capture this fluid competitive landscape and the absence of decisive recent benchmarks favoring any single provider.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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